Nania vs Accra Lions: prediction and stats
Division One LeagueRegular Season - 27Kick-off on May 1, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Nania Park, Accra
The Footlab model makes Nania the favourite at 49%, against 28% for a draw and 23% for Accra Lions. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nania vs Accra Lions?
A very open match: only 14 Elo points separate Nania (1,494) and Accra Lions (1,480).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nania have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Accra Lions have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Na God(away) | 1-0 | Division One League |
| May 9, 2026 | Hakla SC(home) | 0-0 | Division One League |
| May 3, 2026 | Inter Allies(away) | 2-1 | Division One League |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Great Ambitions(home) | 2-1 | Division One League |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Home Stars(away) | 1-0 | Division One League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Port City(away) | 1-1 | Division One League |
| May 9, 2026 | Na God(home) | 2-1 | Division One League |
| May 3, 2026 | Hakla SC(away) | 1-2 | Division One League |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Inter Allies(home) | 0-1 | Division One League |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Great Ambitions(away) | 5-0 | Division One League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Nania win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Accra Lions win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2026 | Accra Lions 3-1 Nania | Division One League |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Nania 0-0 Accra Lions | Division One League |
| Jan 11, 2025 | Accra Lions 0-0 Nania | Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Nania score 0.8 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Accra Lions score 1.4 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nania | 0.8 | 0.8 | 7 | 5/15 | 3/15 |
| Accra Lions | 1.4 | 1.2 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nania sit 13th in Division One League (0 points from 1 matches) and Accra Lions sit 10th (1 points from 1 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Accra Lions | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 13 | Nania | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nania vs Accra Lions?
- The Footlab model makes Nania the favourite at 49%, against 28% for a draw and 23% for Accra Lions.
- Where and when is Nania vs Accra Lions played?
- Nania vs Accra Lions is played on May 1, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Nania Park, in the Division One League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.