Napoli vs AC Milan: result 2-1 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 30Kick-off on March 30, 2025 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Stadio Diego Armando Maradona, Napoli
Full time
What was the result of Napoli vs AC Milan?
Napoli won 2-1 on March 30, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 2′M. PolitanoNapoli
- 19′R. LukakuNapoli
- 84′L. JovićAC Milan
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Napoli have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; AC Milan have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2025 | Venezia(away) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| Mar 9, 2025 | Fiorentina(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Inter(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Feb 23, 2025 | Como(away) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Lazio(away) | 2-2 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2025 | Como(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Lecce(away) | 3-2 | Serie A |
| Mar 2, 2025 | Lazio(home) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Feb 27, 2025 | Bologna(away) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Torino(away) | 1-2 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Napoli win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 AC Milan win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2024 | AC Milan 0-2 Napoli | Serie A |
| Feb 11, 2024 | AC Milan 1-0 Napoli | Serie A |
| Oct 29, 2023 | Napoli 2-2 AC Milan | Serie A |
| Apr 18, 2023 | Napoli 1-1 AC Milan | UEFA Champions League |
| Apr 12, 2023 | AC Milan 1-0 Napoli | UEFA Champions League |
| Apr 2, 2023 | Napoli 0-4 AC Milan | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Napoli score 1.6 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; AC Milan score 1.4 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Napoli | 1.6 | 0.9 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| AC Milan | 1.4 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Napoli | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy