Sassuolo vs Napoli: prediction and stats
Serie ARegular Season - 13Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC)MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore, Reggio Emilia
The Footlab AI model makes Napoli the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for Sassuolo. The most likely score is 1-1. If Napoli wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sassuolo vs Napoli?
Napoli starts as the favourite with a 152-point Elo edge (2,155 vs 2,003).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sassuolo vs Napoli
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sassuolo
4-3-3- 45A. Laurienté
- 94S. Esposito
- 10D. Berardi
- 18N. Matić
- 50D. Bakola
- 17Vasilije Adžić
- 3J. Doig
- 16F. Leysen
- 15D. Ćaleta-Car
- 20I. Van der Brempt
- 49A. Murić
Napoli
3-4-2-1- 19R. Højlund
- 22G. Di Lorenzo
- 11K. De Bruyne
- 68S. Lobotka
- 21M. Politano
- 70N. Lang
- 37L. Spinazzola
- 13Amir Rrahmani
- 16Rafa Marín
- 5B. Badiashile
- 1A. Meret
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 11:35 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sassuolo have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Napoli have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | AC Milan(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Monza(away) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Juventus(home) | 3-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Bologna(away) | 2-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 2, 2026 | Frosinone(home) | 1-1 | Coppa Italia |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Villarreal(away) | 1-3 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Frosinone(home) | 3-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Fiorentina(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Bologna(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Arsenal(home) | 0-1 | UEFA Champions League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Sassuolo wins, 0 draws, 6 Napoli wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | Napoli 1-0 Sassuolo | Serie A |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Sassuolo 0-2 Napoli | Serie A |
| Feb 28, 2024 | Sassuolo 1-6 Napoli | Serie A |
| Aug 27, 2023 | Napoli 2-0 Sassuolo | Serie A |
| Feb 17, 2023 | Sassuolo 0-2 Napoli | Serie A |
| Oct 29, 2022 | Napoli 4-0 Sassuolo | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Sassuolo score 1.6 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Napoli score 1.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sassuolo | 1.6 | 1.7 | 2 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
| Napoli | 1.8 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sassuolo sit 11th in Serie A (8 points from 6 matches) and Napoli sit 8th (10 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Napoli | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 6 | 10 |
| 11 | Sassuolo | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 8 |
A question about Sassuolo vs Napoli?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sassuolo vs Napoli?
- The Footlab AI model makes Napoli the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for Sassuolo.
- Where and when is Sassuolo vs Napoli played?
- Sassuolo vs Napoli is played on November 29, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore, in the Serie A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.