Match

Nardò vs Gladiator: prediction and stats

Serie D - Girone HGroup H - 27Kick-off on March 14, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Heffort Sport Village, Parabita

NardòGladiator

The Footlab AI model makes Nardò the favourite at 52%, against 27% for a draw and 21% for Gladiator. The most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Nardò vs Gladiator?

On Elo ratings, Nardò has 1,639 points and Gladiator 1,548.

52%27%21%
Nardò winDrawGladiator win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Nardò vs Gladiator

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Nardò

Not enough data to predict the Nardò lineup.

Gladiator

Not enough data to predict the Gladiator lineup.

Computed on October 15, 2026 at 01:57 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nardò have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Gladiator have 5, 3 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Nardò
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Gravina(home)1-1Serie D - Girone H
Oct 4, 2026USD Palmese(away)2-4Serie D - Girone H
Sep 27, 2026Martina Franca(home)0-3Serie D - Girone H
Sep 20, 2026Ischia(away)2-1Serie D - Girone H
Sep 16, 2026Melfi(home)0-0Serie D - Girone H
Gladiator
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Francavilla(away)1-1Serie D - Girone H
Oct 4, 2026Turris(home)1-1Serie D - Girone H
Sep 27, 2026Virtus Francavilla(away)1-2Serie D - Girone H
Sep 20, 2026Fidelis Andria(home)3-2Serie D - Girone H
Sep 16, 2026Real Forio 2014(away)1-2Serie D - Girone H

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Nardò win, 2 draws, 0 Gladiator wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 19, 2023Nardò 1-0 GladiatorSerie D - Girone H
Oct 16, 2022Gladiator 0-0 NardòSerie D - Girone H
Dec 8, 2019Nardò 1-1 GladiatorSerie D - Girone H

Last archived meeting: Nardò vs Gladiator on Feb 19, 2023

How many goals should we expect?

Nardò score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Gladiator score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Nardò0.91.156/155/15
Gladiator1.31.5210/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Nardò sit 15th in Serie D - Girone H (6 points from 7 matches) and Gladiator sit 10th (8 points from 7 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
10Gladiator722310128
15Nardò71336126

A question about Nardò vs Gladiator?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Nardò vs Gladiator?
The Footlab AI model makes Nardò the favourite at 52%, against 27% for a draw and 21% for Gladiator.
Where and when is Nardò vs Gladiator played?
Nardò vs Gladiator is played on March 14, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Heffort Sport Village, in the Serie D - Girone H.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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