Virtus Francavilla vs Turris: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone HGroup H - 27Kick-off on March 14, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Giovanni Paolo II, Francavilla Fontana
The Footlab AI model makes Virtus Francavilla the favourite at 51%, against 27% for a draw and 22% for Turris. The most likely score is 1-1. If Virtus Francavilla wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,864 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Virtus Francavilla vs Turris?
On Elo ratings, Virtus Francavilla has 1,763 points and Turris 1,682.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Virtus Francavilla vs Turris
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Virtus Francavilla
Not enough data to predict the Virtus Francavilla lineup.
Turris
4-3-3- 10L. Giannone
- 29M. Trotta
- 20A. Giglio
- 8B. Morrone
- 66J. Boli
- 17Luca Nocerino
- 15M. Ndiaye
- 30Francesco Desiato
- 45C. Imparato
- 28D. Cavallaro
- 1S. Iuliano
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 06:24 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Virtus Francavilla have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Turris have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Fidelis Andria(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Real Forio 2014(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Gravina(home) | 3-0 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Gravina(away) | 2-4 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Gladiator(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Real Forio 2014(away) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Manfredonia(home) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Nocerina(away) | 1-1 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Gladiator(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Fidelis Andria(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone H |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Virtus Francavilla wins, 2 draws, 2 Turris wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2024 | Virtus Francavilla 0-0 Turris | Serie C - Girone C |
| Oct 8, 2023 | Turris 1-3 Virtus Francavilla | Serie C - Girone C |
| Dec 23, 2022 | Virtus Francavilla 3-1 Turris | Serie C - Girone C |
| Sep 4, 2022 | Turris 2-2 Virtus Francavilla | Serie C - Girone C |
| Apr 13, 2022 | Turris 1-0 Virtus Francavilla | Serie C - Girone C |
| Nov 21, 2021 | Virtus Francavilla 1-2 Turris | Serie C - Girone C |
Last archived meeting: Virtus Francavilla vs Turris on Feb 14, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Virtus Francavilla score 1.6 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Turris score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Virtus Francavilla | 1.6 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Turris | 1.3 | 1.7 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Virtus Francavilla sit 1st in Serie D - Girone H (18 points from 8 matches) and Turris sit 3rd (15 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Virtus Francavilla | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 18 |
| 3 | Turris | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 5 | 15 |
A question about Virtus Francavilla vs Turris?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Virtus Francavilla vs Turris?
- The Footlab AI model makes Virtus Francavilla the favourite at 51%, against 27% for a draw and 22% for Turris.
- Where and when is Virtus Francavilla vs Turris played?
- Virtus Francavilla vs Turris is played on March 14, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Giovanni Paolo II, in the Serie D - Girone H.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.