Match

Nardò vs Turris: prediction and stats

Serie D - Girone HGroup H - 11Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Heffort Sport Village, Parabita

NardòTurris

The Footlab AI model makes Nardò the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 24% for Turris. The most likely score is 1-1. If Nardò wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,475 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Nardò vs Turris?

A very open match: only 50 Elo points separate Nardò (1,699) and Turris (1,648).

48%28%24%
Nardò winDrawTurris win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Nardò vs Turris

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Nardò

Not enough data to predict the Nardò lineup.

Turris

4-3-3
  1. 10L. Giannone
  2. 29M. Trotta
  3. 20A. Giglio
  1. 8B. Morrone
  2. 66J. Boli
  3. 17Luca Nocerino
  1. 15M. Ndiaye
  2. 30Francesco Desiato
  3. 45C. Imparato
  4. 28D. Cavallaro
  1. 1S. Iuliano

Computed on October 16, 2026 at 04:15 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nardò have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Turris have 4, 4 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Nardò
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Gravina(home)1-1Serie D - Girone H
Oct 4, 2026USD Palmese(away)2-4Serie D - Girone H
Sep 27, 2026Martina Franca(home)0-3Serie D - Girone H
Sep 20, 2026Ischia(away)2-1Serie D - Girone H
Sep 16, 2026Melfi(home)0-0Serie D - Girone H
Turris
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Manfredonia(home)3-0Serie D - Girone H
Oct 7, 2026Nocerina(away)1-1Coppa Italia Serie D
Oct 4, 2026Gladiator(away)1-1Serie D - Girone H
Sep 27, 2026Fidelis Andria(home)2-0Serie D - Girone H
Sep 20, 2026Brindisi(away)2-1Serie D - Girone H

How many goals should we expect?

Nardò score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Turris score 1.2 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Nardò0.91.156/155/15
Turris1.21.849/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Nardò sit 15th in Serie D - Girone H (6 points from 7 matches) and Turris sit 3rd (15 points from 7 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Turris743012515
15Nardò71336126

A question about Nardò vs Turris?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Nardò vs Turris?
The Footlab AI model makes Nardò the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 24% for Turris.
Where and when is Nardò vs Turris played?
Nardò vs Turris is played on November 8, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Heffort Sport Village, in the Serie D - Girone H.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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