Melfi vs Brindisi: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone HGroup H - 11Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Arturo Valerio, Melfi
The Footlab AI model makes Brindisi the favourite at 51%, against 28% for a draw and 21% for Melfi. The most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Melfi vs Brindisi?
Brindisi starts as the favourite with a 144-point Elo edge (1,661 vs 1,517).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Melfi vs Brindisi
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Melfi
4-3-3- 7Davide Lodesani
- 18Alessandro De Vena
- 20Gianluca De Angelis
- 29Bruno Leonardo Vicente
- 17A. Esposito
- 24A. Gammone
- 5G. Laezza
- 15M. Russu
- 13L. Libutti
- 9C. Foggia
- 1R. Gragnaniello
Brindisi
4-3-3- 44Mattia Pagliuca
- 29M. Trotta
- 7D. Vantaggiato
- 10D. Petrucci
- 36Carlo Martorelli
- 73N. Bagatti
- 17G. Pinto
- 33L. Falbo
- 3N. Monti
- 27M. Calderoni
- 22I. Saio
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 01:44 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Melfi have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Brindisi have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Ischia(away) | 0-3 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Nocerina(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Ebolitana(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Francavilla(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Nardò(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Nocerina(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Real Normanna(home) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Francavilla(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Turris(home) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Virtus Francavilla(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone H |
How many goals should we expect?
Melfi score 0.6 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Brindisi score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Melfi | 0.6 | 1.3 | 3 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
| Brindisi | 1.5 | 1.3 | 6 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Melfi sit 18th in Serie D - Girone H (4 points from 7 matches) and Brindisi sit 7th (12 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Brindisi | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 12 |
| 18 | Melfi | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 4 |
A question about Melfi vs Brindisi?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Melfi vs Brindisi?
- The Footlab AI model makes Brindisi the favourite at 51%, against 28% for a draw and 21% for Melfi.
- Where and when is Melfi vs Brindisi played?
- Melfi vs Brindisi is played on November 8, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Arturo Valerio, in the Serie D - Girone H.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.