Nasaf vs Surkhon: result 3-2 and analysis
Super LeagueRegular Season - 5Kick-off on April 9, 2023 at 01:20 PM (UTC)Markaziy Stadion, Qarshi
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What was the result of Nasaf vs Surkhon?
Nasaf won 3-2 on April 9, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 29′Mateus LimaNasaf
- 35′S. NimelySurkhon
- 62′A. KarimovSurkhon (pen.)
- 67′A. PotapovNasaf (o.g.)
- 77′S. NasrullayevNasaf
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nasaf have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Surkhon have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2023 | Kokand-1912(away) | 1-0 | Cup |
| Apr 1, 2023 | Qizilqum(away) | 1-1 | Super League |
| Mar 17, 2023 | Buxoro(away) | 1-0 | Super League |
| Mar 12, 2023 | Turan(home) | 2-1 | Super League |
| Mar 4, 2023 | Andijan(home) | 0-1 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2023 | Mash'al(home) | 0-0 | Cup |
| Mar 31, 2023 | Buxoro(home) | 2-0 | Super League |
| Mar 19, 2023 | Turan(away) | 1-1 | Super League |
| Mar 11, 2023 | Andijan(home) | 1-0 | Super League |
| Mar 5, 2023 | Olmaliq(home) | 1-3 | Super League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Nasaf win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Surkhon win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 10, 2022 | Surkhon 0-2 Nasaf | Super League |
| Aug 23, 2022 | Surkhon 1-2 Nasaf | Cup |
| Jul 4, 2022 | Nasaf 2-0 Surkhon | Super League |
| Nov 11, 2021 | Surkhon 2-2 Nasaf | Super League |
| Apr 15, 2021 | Nasaf 6-0 Surkhon | Super League |
| Sep 21, 2020 | Nasaf 5-0 Surkhon | Super League |
How many goals should we expect?
Nasaf score 0.8 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Surkhon score 0.9 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nasaf | 0.8 | 0.8 | 5 | 6/15 | 3/15 |
| Surkhon | 0.9 | 1.5 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nasaf sit 9th in Super League (14 points from 11 matches) and Surkhon sit 12th (12 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Nasaf | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 20 | 17 | 25 |
| 9 | Nasaf | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 14 |
| 12 | Surkhon | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 12 |
| 15 | Surkhon | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 26 | 19 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy