Dinamo Samarqand vs Surkhon: prediction and stats
Super LeagueRegular Season - 30Kick-off on December 2, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Dinamo, Samarqand
The Footlab AI model makes Dinamo Samarqand the favourite at 44%, against 30% for a draw and 26% for Surkhon. The most likely score is 1-1. If Dinamo Samarqand wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,586 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dinamo Samarqand vs Surkhon?
A very open match: only 83 Elo points separate Dinamo Samarqand (1,702) and Surkhon (1,619).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Dinamo Samarqand vs Surkhon
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Dinamo Samarqand
4-3-3- 37F. Abdurahmonov
- 10A. Hojimirzaev
- 44A. Khaydarov
- 8A. Amonov
- 24Akbar Khudoyberdiev
- 30H. Hajdarević
- 3M. Ștefan
- 20J. Jumaboyev
- 2A. Radayev
- 17S. Mustafoyev
- 27E. Nemanov
Surkhon
4-3-3- 11R. Friday
- 19F. Qodirov
- 33U. Kuvandikov
- 21Tornike Dzebniauri
- 8H. Sherbotayev
- 15D. Ramazonov
- 7D. Tursunov
- 6B. Shamsiev
- 66B. Shaydulov
- 26B. Shukurullaev
- 86D. Merganov
Computed on October 26, 2026 at 11:07 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dinamo Samarqand have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Surkhon have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Andijan(home) | 1-1 | Super League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Buxoro(home) | 1-2 | Super League |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Nasaf(away) | 1-2 | Super League |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Navbahor(away) | 2-3 | Super League |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Qizilqum(home) | 1-0 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2026 | Buxoro(away) | 0-0 | Super League |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Xorazm(home) | 0-0 | Super League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Qizilqum(away) | 0-0 | Super League |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Kokand-1912(home) | 1-0 | Super League |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Neftchi(away) | 1-2 | Super League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Dinamo Samarqand wins, 1 draw, 0 Surkhon wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 23, 2026 | Surkhon 1-2 Dinamo Samarqand | Super League |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Surkhon 0-2 Dinamo Samarqand | Super League |
| May 9, 2025 | Dinamo Samarqand 1-0 Surkhon | Super League |
| Apr 29, 2025 | Surkhon 0-1 Dinamo Samarqand | Cup |
| Sep 26, 2024 | Dinamo Samarqand 3-0 Surkhon | Super League |
| May 13, 2024 | Surkhon 1-1 Dinamo Samarqand | Super League |
Last archived meeting: Surkhon vs Dinamo Samarqand on Jul 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Dinamo Samarqand score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Surkhon score 0.5 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Samarqand | 1.5 | 1.3 | 3 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
| Surkhon | 0.5 | 0.7 | 8 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dinamo Samarqand sit 10th in Super League (30 points from 24 matches) and Surkhon sit 12th (29 points from 25 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Dinamo Samarqand | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 35 | 38 | 30 |
| 12 | Surkhon | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 19 | 28 | 29 |
A question about Dinamo Samarqand vs Surkhon?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dinamo Samarqand vs Surkhon?
- The Footlab AI model makes Dinamo Samarqand the favourite at 44%, against 30% for a draw and 26% for Surkhon.
- Where and when is Dinamo Samarqand vs Surkhon played?
- Dinamo Samarqand vs Surkhon is played on December 2, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Dinamo, in the Super League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.