National Bank of Egypt vs Al Ahly: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 16Kick-off on February 1, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC)National Bank of Egypt Stadium, Cairo
The Footlab model makes Al Ahly the favourite at 46%, against 29% for a draw and 26% for National Bank of Egypt. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win National Bank of Egypt vs Al Ahly?
Al Ahly starts as the favourite with a 172-point Elo edge (2,031 vs 1,859).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, National Bank of Egypt have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Al Ahly have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Zamalek SC(home) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Abu Qair Semad(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| May 29, 2026 | Al Ittihad(home) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| May 22, 2026 | Pharco(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| May 17, 2026 | El Gouna FC(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Enppi(home) | 3-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Barcelona(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 20, 2026 | AL Masry(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| May 5, 2026 | Enppi(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| May 1, 2026 | Zamalek SC(away) | 3-0 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 National Bank of Egypt win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Al Ahly win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2026 | National Bank of Egypt 1-1 Al Ahly | Premier League |
| May 17, 2025 | Al Ahly 2-1 National Bank of Egypt | Premier League |
| Dec 1, 2024 | National Bank of Egypt 0-0 Al Ahly | Premier League |
| Aug 1, 2024 | Al Ahly 1-0 National Bank of Egypt | Premier League |
| Mar 12, 2024 | National Bank of Egypt 4-3 Al Ahly | Premier League |
| Jun 29, 2023 | National Bank of Egypt 0-3 Al Ahly | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: National Bank of Egypt vs Al Ahly on Feb 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
National Bank of Egypt score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Al Ahly score 1.6 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| National Bank of Egypt | 1.3 | 1.3 | 2 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Al Ahly | 1.6 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
National Bank of Egypt sit 19th in Premier League (0 points from 1 matches) and Al Ahly sit 2nd (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Al Ahly | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 19 | National Bank of Egypt | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for National Bank of Egypt vs Al Ahly?
- The Footlab model makes Al Ahly the favourite at 46%, against 29% for a draw and 26% for National Bank of Egypt.
- Where and when is National Bank of Egypt vs Al Ahly played?
- National Bank of Egypt vs Al Ahly is played on February 1, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at National Bank of Egypt Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.