Smouha SC vs Wadi Degla: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 16Kick-off on January 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Alexandria Stadium, Alexandria
The Footlab model makes Wadi Degla the favourite at 38%, against 33% for a draw and 29% for Smouha SC. The most likely score is 0-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Smouha SC vs Wadi Degla?
Wadi Degla starts as the favourite with a 128-point Elo edge (1,896 vs 1,768).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Smouha SC have 5 wins, 0 draws and 10 defeats; Wadi Degla have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | AL Masry(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| May 20, 2026 | Pyramids FC(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| May 5, 2026 | Zamalek SC(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Apr 27, 2026 | AL Masry(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Apr 22, 2026 | Ceramica Cleopatra(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Masr(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Jun 8, 2026 | Masr(away) | 2-0 | League Cup |
| Jun 1, 2026 | Enppi(home) | 0-1 | League Cup |
| May 28, 2026 | El Geish(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| May 25, 2026 | Enppi(away) | 0-0 | League Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Smouha SC win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Wadi Degla win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 28, 2025 | Wadi Degla 1-1 Smouha SC | Premier League |
| May 10, 2021 | Smouha SC 2-1 Wadi Degla | Premier League |
| Dec 24, 2020 | Wadi Degla 1-2 Smouha SC | Premier League |
| Sep 24, 2020 | Wadi Degla 0-0 Smouha SC | Premier League |
| Jan 8, 2020 | Smouha SC 2-3 Wadi Degla | Premier League |
| Mar 29, 2019 | Smouha SC 2-3 Wadi Degla | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Wadi Degla vs Smouha SC on Sep 28, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Smouha SC score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Wadi Degla score 1.4 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 30% probability of over 2.5 goals and 38% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smouha SC | 0.9 | 1.1 | 2 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Wadi Degla | 1.4 | 0.7 | 8 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Smouha SC sit 18th in Premier League (0 points from 1 matches) and Wadi Degla sit 13th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Wadi Degla | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 18 | Smouha SC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Smouha SC vs Wadi Degla?
- The Footlab model makes Wadi Degla the favourite at 38%, against 33% for a draw and 29% for Smouha SC.
- Where and when is Smouha SC vs Wadi Degla played?
- Smouha SC vs Wadi Degla is played on January 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Alexandria Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 30% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.