Nations vs Ebusua Dwarfs: prediction and stats
Division One LeagueRegular Season - 11Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Dr. Kwame Kyei Sports Complex, Abrankese
The Footlab model makes Nations the favourite at 52%, against 27% for a draw and 21% for Ebusua Dwarfs. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nations vs Ebusua Dwarfs?
A very open match: only 17 Elo points separate Nations (1,587) and Ebusua Dwarfs (1,570).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nations have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Ebusua Dwarfs have 5, 8 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 31, 2026 | Dreams(away) | 1-1 | Cup |
| May 24, 2026 | Karela(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| May 17, 2026 | Vision(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| May 10, 2026 | Young Apostles(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| May 6, 2026 | Heart of Lions(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Elmina Sharks(home) | 2-2 | Division One League |
| May 10, 2026 | Future Stars(away) | 1-0 | Division One League |
| May 3, 2026 | Ebony FC(home) | 0-0 | Division One League |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Sefwi All Stars(away) | 0-2 | Division One League |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Police National(home) | 1-0 | Division One League |
How many goals should we expect?
Nations score 0.9 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Ebusua Dwarfs score 1.0 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nations | 0.9 | 0.7 | 7 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
| Ebusua Dwarfs | 1.0 | 0.7 | 9 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Ebusua Dwarfs | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nations vs Ebusua Dwarfs?
- The Footlab model makes Nations the favourite at 52%, against 27% for a draw and 21% for Ebusua Dwarfs.
- Where and when is Nations vs Ebusua Dwarfs played?
- Nations vs Ebusua Dwarfs is played on December 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Dr. Kwame Kyei Sports Complex, in the Division One League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.