Nations vs Elmina Sharks: prediction and stats
Division One LeagueRegular Season - 4Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Dr. Kwame Kyei Sports Complex, Abrankese
The Footlab model makes Nations the favourite at 62%, against 23% for a draw and 14% for Elmina Sharks. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nations vs Elmina Sharks?
Nations starts as the favourite with a 136-point Elo edge (1,588 vs 1,452).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nations have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Elmina Sharks have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 31, 2026 | Dreams(away) | 1-1 | Cup |
| May 24, 2026 | Karela(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| May 17, 2026 | Vision(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| May 10, 2026 | Young Apostles(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| May 6, 2026 | Heart of Lions(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Ebusua Dwarfs(away) | 2-2 | Division One League |
| May 10, 2026 | Soccer Intellectuals(home) | 2-1 | Division One League |
| May 3, 2026 | King Faisal(away) | 1-0 | Division One League |
| Apr 25, 2026 | PAC Academy(home) | 2-1 | Division One League |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Nsuopun Fidelity(away) | 0-1 | Division One League |
How many goals should we expect?
Nations score 0.9 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Elmina Sharks score 1.2 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nations | 0.9 | 0.7 | 7 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
| Elmina Sharks | 1.2 | 1.2 | 2 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Elmina Sharks | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nations vs Elmina Sharks?
- The Footlab model makes Nations the favourite at 62%, against 23% for a draw and 14% for Elmina Sharks.
- Where and when is Nations vs Elmina Sharks played?
- Nations vs Elmina Sharks is played on October 10, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Dr. Kwame Kyei Sports Complex, in the Division One League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.