Nautico Recife vs Novorizontino: result 3-1 and analysis
Serie BRegular Season - 16Kick-off on July 2, 2022 at 09:30 PM (UTC)Estádio Eládio de Barros Carvalho, Recife, Pernambuco
Full time
What was the result of Nautico Recife vs Novorizontino?
Nautico Recife won 3-1 on July 2, 2022.
Goalscorers
- 2′R. FrancoNautico Recife
- 7′Pedro VitorNautico Recife
- 44′R. FrancoNautico Recife
- 77′Cléo SilvaNovorizontino
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nautico Recife have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Novorizontino have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 29, 2022 | Criciuma(home) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Jun 26, 2022 | Tombense(away) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Jun 18, 2022 | Sport Recife(home) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Jun 10, 2022 | Sampaio Correa(away) | 0-2 | Serie B |
| Jun 7, 2022 | Vasco DA Gama(home) | 2-3 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 30, 2022 | Vasco DA Gama(home) | 2-0 | Serie B |
| Jun 25, 2022 | Bahia(away) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Jun 18, 2022 | Tombense(home) | 1-3 | Serie B |
| Jun 12, 2022 | Guarani Campinas(home) | 1-2 | Serie B |
| Jun 8, 2022 | Gremio(away) | 0-2 | Serie B |
How many goals should we expect?
Nautico Recife score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Novorizontino score 0.9 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nautico Recife | 0.9 | 1.1 | 3 | 8/15 | 3/15 |
| Novorizontino | 0.9 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nautico Recife sit 15th in Serie B (31 points from 24 matches) and Novorizontino sit 5th (37 points from 23 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Novorizontino | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 35 | 20 | 37 |
| 15 | Nautico Recife | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 28 | 27 | 31 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy