Criciuma vs Novorizontino: prediction and stats
Serie BRegular Season - 38Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Heriberto Hülse, Criciúma, Santa Catarina
The Footlab AI model makes Criciuma the favourite at 36%, against 30% for a draw and 34% for Novorizontino. The most likely score is 1-1. If Criciuma wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,527 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Criciuma vs Novorizontino?
On Elo ratings, Criciuma has 1,783 points and Novorizontino 1,889.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Criciuma vs Novorizontino
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Criciuma
4-3-3- 10Jhonata Robert
- 9Nicolas
- 91R. Otero
- 14Ronald
- 7Fellipe Mateus
- 41Jean Irmer
- 4Luciano Castán
- 22Marcelo Hermes
- 3Rodrigo
- 6Marcinho
- 32Airton
Novorizontino
4-2-3-1- 11Robson
- 6Luis Oyama
- 10Romulo
- 30Nicolas Careca
- 41Reidiney
- 17Matheus Bianqui
- 2Madson
- 4Patrick
- 5Sander
- 26Gabriel Bahia
- 93Jordi
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 03:34 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Criciuma have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Novorizontino have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | America Mineiro(home) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Oct 8, 2026 | Ceara(away) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Londrina(away) | 2-0 | Serie B |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Avai(home) | 3-0 | Serie B |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Operario-PR(home) | 0-2 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | Ponte Preta(home) | 5-1 | Serie B |
| Oct 8, 2026 | Nautico Recife(away) | 2-0 | Serie B |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Goias(home) | 3-0 | Serie B |
| Sep 25, 2026 | São Bernardo(home) | 0-0 | Serie B |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Ceara(away) | 1-2 | Serie B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Criciuma wins, 1 draw, 3 Novorizontino wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 21, 2026 | Novorizontino 0-1 Criciuma | Serie B |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Criciuma 2-0 Novorizontino | Serie B |
| Apr 21, 2025 | Novorizontino 1-1 Criciuma | Serie B |
| Nov 25, 2023 | Novorizontino 2-0 Criciuma | Serie B |
| Jul 22, 2023 | Criciuma 0-1 Novorizontino | Serie B |
| Aug 14, 2022 | Novorizontino 3-1 Criciuma | Serie B |
Last archived meeting: Novorizontino vs Criciuma on Jul 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Criciuma score 0.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Novorizontino score 2.1 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Criciuma | 0.8 | 1.1 | 7 | 2/15 | 3/15 |
| Novorizontino | 2.1 | 0.7 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Criciuma sit 5th in Serie B (56 points from 33 matches) and Novorizontino sit 2nd (60 points from 33 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Novorizontino | 33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 59 | 28 | 60 |
| 5 | Criciuma | 33 | 16 | 8 | 9 | 34 | 28 | 56 |
A question about Criciuma vs Novorizontino?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Criciuma vs Novorizontino?
- The Footlab AI model makes Criciuma the favourite at 36%, against 30% for a draw and 34% for Novorizontino.
- Where and when is Criciuma vs Novorizontino played?
- Criciuma vs Novorizontino is played on November 14, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Heriberto Hülse, in the Serie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.