Naval Reinosa vs Cayón: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 3Group 3 - 33Kick-off on May 2, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Cayón the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Naval Reinosa. The most likely score is 1-1. If Cayón wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,823 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 29, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Naval Reinosa vs Cayón?
Cayón starts as the favourite with a 152-point Elo edge (1,863 vs 1,711).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Naval Reinosa vs Cayón
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Naval Reinosa
Not enough data to predict the Naval Reinosa lineup.
Cayón
Not enough data to predict the Cayón lineup.
Computed on October 29, 2026 at 08:03 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 8 matches in all competitions, Naval Reinosa have 1 win, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Cayón have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Castro(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Revilla(away) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Solares(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Selaya(away) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Laredo(home) | 0-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Laredo(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Bezana(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Torina(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Velarde(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Sámano(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Naval Reinosa score 1.3 and concede 2.4 goals per match over their last 8; Cayón score 1.2 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Naval Reinosa | 1.3 | 2.4 | 1 | 5/8 | 7/8 |
| Cayón | 1.2 | 0.9 | 7 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 8 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Naval Reinosa sit 16th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 (5 points from 8 matches) and Cayón sit 5th (17 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Cayón | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 17 |
| 16 | Naval Reinosa | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 5 |
A question about Naval Reinosa vs Cayón?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Naval Reinosa vs Cayón?
- The Footlab AI model makes Cayón the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Naval Reinosa.
- Where and when is Naval Reinosa vs Cayón played?
- Naval Reinosa vs Cayón is played on May 2, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC), in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.