Náxara vs Castellón II: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 · Matchday 14Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio La Salera, Nájera
The Footlab AI model makes Náxara the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Castellón II. The most likely score is 1-1. If Náxara wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 6,194 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Náxara vs Castellón II?
A very open match: only 55 Elo points separate Náxara (1,920) and Castellón II (1,975).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Náxara vs Castellón II
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Náxara
Not enough data to predict the Náxara lineup.
Castellón II
Not enough data to predict the Castellón II lineup.
Computed on November 15, 2026 at 07:46 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Náxara have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Castellón II have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Arnedo(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Utebo(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Girona II(away) | 0-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | SD Logroñés(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Peña Sport(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2026 | Deportiva Minera(home) | 3-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Nov 8, 2026 | Peña Deportiva(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Elche II(away) | 5-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | La Nucía(home) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Poblense(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Náxara score 1.0 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Castellón II score 1.7 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Náxara | 1.0 | 1.6 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Castellón II | 1.7 | 1.0 | 4 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Náxara | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 6 |
A question about Náxara vs Castellón II?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Náxara vs Castellón II?
- The Footlab AI model makes Náxara the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Castellón II.
- Where and when is Náxara vs Castellón II played?
- Náxara vs Castellón II is played on December 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio La Salera, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.