Barbastro vs Castellón II: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 - 15Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Deportes, Barbastro
The Footlab model makes Barbastro the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Castellón II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Barbastro vs Castellón II?
A very open match: only 87 Elo points separate Barbastro (1,896) and Castellón II (1,809).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Barbastro have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Castellón II have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Huesca(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Atlètic Lleida(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Zaragoza(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | Sant Andreu(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Castellón II(home) | 3-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Teruel(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 17, 2026 | SD Logroñés(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 10, 2026 | SD Logroñés(home) | 2-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 3, 2026 | Girona II(home) | 4-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Barbastro(away) | 1-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Barbastro win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Castellón II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Barbastro 3-1 Castellón II | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Castellón II 1-3 Barbastro | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
Last archived meeting: Barbastro vs Castellón II on Apr 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Barbastro score 1.4 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Castellón II score 1.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barbastro | 1.4 | 0.8 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Castellón II | 1.5 | 1.7 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Barbastro vs Castellón II?
- The Footlab model makes Barbastro the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Castellón II.
- Where and when is Barbastro vs Castellón II played?
- Barbastro vs Castellón II is played on December 13, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Deportes, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.