Náxara vs Manresa: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 - 11Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio La Salera, Nájera
The Footlab AI model makes Náxara the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Manresa. The most likely score is 1-1. If Náxara wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,601 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Náxara vs Manresa?
A very open match: only 43 Elo points separate Náxara (1,851) and Manresa (1,894).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Náxara vs Manresa
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Náxara
Not enough data to predict the Náxara lineup.
Manresa
4-3-3- 10M. Ezzarfani
- 7A. Diaz
- 18Bilal Achhiba
- 5Èric Montes
- 8C. Portero
- 14A. Iglesias
- 3R. Munells
- 9D. Momoh
- 23N. Olmedo
- 15Matheus Teixeira
- 1O. Pulido
Computed on November 5, 2026 at 08:31 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Náxara have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Manresa have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Utebo(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Girona II(away) | 0-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | SD Logroñés(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Peña Sport(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Barbastro(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Olot(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Sant Andreu(home) | 2-2 | Copa del Rey |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Ebro(home) | 3-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Barbastro(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Osasuna II(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Náxara score 1.0 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Manresa score 1.4 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Náxara | 1.0 | 1.5 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Manresa | 1.4 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Náxara sit 15th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 (6 points from 8 matches) and Manresa sit 7th (14 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Manresa | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 8 | 14 |
| 15 | Náxara | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 6 |
A question about Náxara vs Manresa?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Náxara vs Manresa?
- The Footlab AI model makes Náxara the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Manresa.
- Where and when is Náxara vs Manresa played?
- Náxara vs Manresa is played on November 15, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio La Salera, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.