Náxara vs Manresa: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 - 11Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio La Salera, Nájera
The Footlab model makes Náxara the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Manresa. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Náxara vs Manresa?
A very open match: only 41 Elo points separate Náxara (1,880) and Manresa (1,840).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Náxara have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Manresa have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Haro Deportivo(away) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 2, 2026 | Eibar II(away) | 2-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Beasain(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Alfaro(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | SD Logroñés(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Atlètic Lleida(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Sant Andreu(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Vilanova(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Grama(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Sabadell(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Náxara score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Manresa score 1.6 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Náxara | 1.4 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Manresa | 1.6 | 1.0 | 7 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Náxara | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 39 | 48 | 41 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Náxara vs Manresa?
- The Footlab model makes Náxara the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Manresa.
- Where and when is Náxara vs Manresa played?
- Náxara vs Manresa is played on November 15, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio La Salera, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.