Náxara vs Ebro: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 - 12Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio La Salera, Nájera
The Footlab AI model makes Ebro the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Náxara. The most likely score is 1-1. If Ebro wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Náxara vs Ebro?
A very open match: only 81 Elo points separate Náxara (1,794) and Ebro (1,875).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Náxara vs Ebro
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Náxara
Not enough data to predict the Náxara lineup.
Ebro
Not enough data to predict the Ebro lineup.
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 10:47 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Náxara have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Ebro have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Peña Sport(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Barbastro(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Reddis(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Olot(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Barcelona B(away) | 0-5 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Calamocha(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Arnedo(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Terrassa(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Osasuna II(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Reddis(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Náxara wins, 1 draw, 1 Ebro win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2026 | Ebro 4-1 Náxara | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 7, 2025 | Náxara 1-1 Ebro | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Náxara score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Ebro score 1.0 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Náxara | 1.1 | 1.5 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Ebro | 1.0 | 1.1 | 4 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Náxara sit 15th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 (4 points from 5 matches) and Ebro sit 3rd (13 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Ebro | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 13 |
| 15 | Náxara | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 4 |
A question about Náxara vs Ebro?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Náxara vs Ebro?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ebro the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Náxara.
- Where and when is Náxara vs Ebro played?
- Náxara vs Ebro is played on November 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio La Salera, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.