Nchanga Rangers vs Trident: prediction and stats
Super LeagueRegular Season - 3Kick-off on October 14, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Nchanga Stadium, Chingola
The Footlab model makes Nchanga Rangers the favourite at 46%, against 33% for a draw and 21% for Trident. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nchanga Rangers vs Trident?
A very open match: only 92 Elo points separate Nchanga Rangers (1,535) and Trident (1,443).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nchanga Rangers have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; Trident have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Konkola Blades(home) | 1-2 | Super League |
| May 16, 2026 | Zanaco(away) | 0-1 | Super League |
| May 8, 2026 | Kabwe Warriors(home) | 1-1 | Super League |
| May 3, 2026 | Nkana(away) | 1-0 | Super League |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Nkwazi(home) | 1-0 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 1, 2024 | Green Buffaloes(home) | 1-1 | Super League |
| May 25, 2024 | ZESCO United(away) | 1-5 | Super League |
| May 18, 2024 | Power Dynamos(home) | 0-0 | Super League |
| May 15, 2024 | Konkola Blades(away) | 1-0 | Super League |
| May 4, 2024 | Nkwazi(home) | 1-3 | Super League |
How many goals should we expect?
Nchanga Rangers score 1.0 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Trident score 1.0 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 27% probability of over 2.5 goals and 34% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nchanga Rangers | 1.0 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Trident | 1.0 | 1.4 | 4 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Nchanga Rangers | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 31 | 26 | 50 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nchanga Rangers vs Trident?
- The Footlab model makes Nchanga Rangers the favourite at 46%, against 33% for a draw and 21% for Trident.
- Where and when is Nchanga Rangers vs Trident played?
- Nchanga Rangers vs Trident is played on October 14, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Nchanga Stadium, in the Super League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 27% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 14, 2026Green EaglesvsRed Arrows
- Oct 14, 2026Mufulira WanderersvsNkwazi
- Oct 14, 2026NAPSA StarsvsNkana
- Oct 14, 2026Konkola BladesvsMan Utd Zambia Academy
- Oct 14, 2026Kansanshi DynamosvsPower Dynamos
- Oct 14, 2026Roan UnitedvsZESCO United
- Oct 15, 2026Mutondo StarsvsGreen Buffaloes
- Oct 15, 2026Chirundu UtdvsKabwe Warriors