Green Eagles vs Red Arrows: prediction and stats
Super LeagueRegular Season - 3Kick-off on October 14, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Eagles Ground, Choma
The Footlab model calls this one tight: 34% for Green Eagles, 36% for a draw, 31% for Red Arrows. The most likely score is 0-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Green Eagles vs Red Arrows?
Red Arrows starts as the favourite with a 118-point Elo edge (1,672 vs 1,554).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Green Eagles have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Red Arrows have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 22, 2026 | Mines(away) | 0-1 | Super League |
| May 17, 2026 | Power Dynamos(home) | 0-1 | Super League |
| May 14, 2026 | Red Arrows(away) | 1-2 | Super League |
| May 7, 2026 | ZESCO United(home) | 1-0 | Super League |
| May 3, 2026 | Mufulira Wanderers(home) | 2-0 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 22, 2026 | Green Buffaloes(home) | 2-0 | Super League |
| May 17, 2026 | Mufulira Wanderers(away) | 0-0 | Super League |
| May 14, 2026 | Green Eagles(home) | 2-1 | Super League |
| May 6, 2026 | Zanaco(away) | 0-0 | Super League |
| May 2, 2026 | Mutondo Stars(away) | 0-1 | Super League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Green Eagles win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Red Arrows win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 14, 2026 | Red Arrows 2-1 Green Eagles | Super League |
| Jan 18, 2026 | Green Eagles 1-0 Red Arrows | Super League |
| Mar 13, 2025 | Green Eagles 1-1 Red Arrows | Super League |
| Nov 9, 2024 | Red Arrows 1-1 Green Eagles | Super League |
| May 25, 2024 | Green Eagles 0-0 Red Arrows | Super League |
| Dec 16, 2023 | Red Arrows 1-2 Green Eagles | Super League |
Last archived meeting: Red Arrows vs Green Eagles on May 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Green Eagles score 0.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Red Arrows score 1.1 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 24% probability of over 2.5 goals and 34% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Green Eagles | 0.9 | 0.9 | 5 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Red Arrows | 1.1 | 0.7 | 7 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Green Eagles sit 6th in Super League (50 points from 34 matches) and Red Arrows sit 2nd (63 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Red Arrows | 34 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 44 | 22 | 63 |
| 6 | Green Eagles | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 29 | 25 | 50 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Green Eagles vs Red Arrows?
- The Footlab model calls this one tight: 34% for Green Eagles, 36% for a draw, 31% for Red Arrows.
- Where and when is Green Eagles vs Red Arrows played?
- Green Eagles vs Red Arrows is played on October 14, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Eagles Ground, in the Super League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 24% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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