Necaxa vs Atlante FC: result 2-1 and analysis
Liga MXApertura - 1Kick-off on July 17, 2026 at 01:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Victoria, Aguascalientes
Full time
What was the result of Necaxa vs Atlante FC?
Necaxa won 2-1 on July 17, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 47′E. PizzutoAtlante FC
- 80′J. CarranzaNecaxa (pen.)
- 90′M. PedrozaNecaxa
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab model gave a Necaxa win at 46%: prediction correct. Most likely score announced: 1-1. Actual score: 2-1.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Necaxa have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Atlante FC have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 4, 2026 | Atlas(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 1, 2026 | Correcaminos Uat(away) | 6-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 20, 2026 | Monarcas(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 27, 2026 | Cruz Azul(away) | 1-4 | Liga MX |
| Apr 23, 2026 | Guadalajara Chivas(home) | 0-0 | Liga MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 2, 2026 | New Mexico United(away) | 3-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Tepatitlán(away) | 0-2 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Apr 23, 2026 | Tepatitlán(home) | 2-0 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Apr 17, 2026 | CA La Paz(home) | 1-1 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Cancún(away) | 1-2 | Liga de Expansión MX |
How many goals should we expect?
Necaxa score 1.3 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Atlante FC score 1.7 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Necaxa | 1.3 | 1.4 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Atlante FC | 1.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Necaxa sit 8th in Liga MX (6 points from 3 matches) and Atlante FC sit 10th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Necaxa | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 6 |
| 10 | Atlante FC | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
| 11 | Necaxa | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 6 |
| 13 | Atlante FC | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 5 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy