Leon vs Atlas: result 2-3 and analysis
Liga MXApertura - 1Kick-off on July 18, 2026 at 01:00 AM (UTC)Estadio León (Nou Camp), León de los Aldamas
Full time
What was the result of Leon vs Atlas?
Atlas won 2-3 on July 18, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 2′DukAtlas
- 27′D. CambindoLeon
- 50′A. GonzálezAtlas
- 73′A. RochaAtlas (pen.)
- 77′J. CortizoLeon
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab model gave a Leon win at 50%: prediction missed. Most likely score announced: 1-1 — actual score: 2-3.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leon have 8 wins, 0 draws and 7 defeats; Atlas have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 3, 2026 | Tapatío(home) | 4-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Mineros de Zacatecas(home) | 7-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Toluca(away) | 1-4 | Liga MX |
| Apr 22, 2026 | Club America(home) | 2-3 | Liga MX |
| Apr 19, 2026 | FC Juarez(home) | 3-1 | Liga MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 4, 2026 | Necaxa(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 10, 2026 | Cruz Azul(away) | 0-1 | Liga MX |
| May 3, 2026 | Cruz Azul(home) | 2-3 | Liga MX |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Club America(away) | 1-0 | Liga MX |
| Apr 23, 2026 | Tigres UANL(home) | 0-0 | Liga MX |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Leon win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Atlas win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2026 | Leon 2-0 Atlas | Liga MX |
| Oct 23, 2025 | Atlas 2-0 Leon | Liga MX |
| Jan 19, 2025 | Atlas 1-2 Leon | Liga MX |
| Oct 24, 2024 | Leon 0-0 Atlas | Liga MX |
| Feb 18, 2024 | Atlas 0-1 Leon | Liga MX |
| Oct 25, 2023 | Leon 1-1 Atlas | Liga MX |
How many goals should we expect?
Leon score 1.9 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Atlas score 0.8 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leon | 1.9 | 2.1 | 2 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Atlas | 0.8 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Leon sit 14th in Liga MX (3 points from 3 matches) and Atlas sit 9th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Atlas | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 12 |
| 8 | Leon | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 9 |
| 9 | Atlas | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 6 |
| 14 | Leon | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy