Necaxa vs Toluca: result 1-1 and analysis
Liga MXClausura - 10Kick-off on March 10, 2019 at 03:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Victoria, Aguascalientes
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What was the result of Necaxa vs Toluca?
Necaxa and Toluca drew 1-1 on March 10, 2019.
Goalscorers
- 48′E. GigliottiToluca
- 67′R. ContrerasNecaxa
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Necaxa have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Toluca have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2019 | Club America(away) | 3-1 | Liga MX |
| Mar 2, 2019 | Cruz Azul(away) | 1-2 | Liga MX |
| Feb 24, 2019 | Club Tijuana(home) | 1-2 | Liga MX |
| Feb 17, 2019 | Tigres UANL(away) | 2-3 | Liga MX |
| Feb 10, 2019 | Guadalajara Chivas(home) | 3-3 | Liga MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2019 | Veracruz(home) | 3-1 | Liga MX |
| Mar 1, 2019 | Sporting Kansas City(home) | 0-2 | CONCACAF Champions League |
| Feb 25, 2019 | Santos Laguna(away) | 0-4 | Liga MX |
| Feb 22, 2019 | Sporting Kansas City(away) | 0-3 | CONCACAF Champions League |
| Feb 17, 2019 | Leon(away) | 0-3 | Liga MX |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Necaxa win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Toluca win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 2018 | Toluca 3-2 Necaxa | Liga MX |
| Feb 4, 2018 | Necaxa 0-0 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Aug 20, 2017 | Toluca 0-0 Necaxa | Liga MX |
| Apr 2, 2017 | Toluca 2-0 Necaxa | Liga MX |
| Oct 2, 2016 | Necaxa 3-1 Toluca | Liga MX |
How many goals should we expect?
Necaxa score 1.6 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Toluca score 0.9 and concede 1.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Necaxa | 1.6 | 1.8 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Toluca | 0.9 | 1.8 | 1 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Necaxa sit 8th in Liga MX (6 points from 3 matches) and Toluca sit 3rd (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Toluca | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Toluca | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
| 8 | Necaxa | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 6 |
| 11 | Necaxa | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 6 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy