Necaxa vs Toluca: result 1-3 and analysis
Liga MXApertura - 14Kick-off on October 28, 2024 at 12:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Victoria, Aguascalientes
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What was the result of Necaxa vs Toluca?
Toluca won 1-3 on October 28, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 19′J. AnguloToluca
- 25′J. AnguloToluca
- 66′J. AnguloToluca
- 90′A. PalavecinoNecaxa
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Necaxa have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Toluca have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2024 | Guadalajara Chivas(away) | 2-3 | Liga MX |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Club Tijuana(home) | 1-2 | Liga MX |
| Oct 5, 2024 | Cruz Azul(away) | 0-3 | Liga MX |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Club Queretaro(away) | 0-0 | Liga MX |
| Sep 22, 2024 | Club America(home) | 1-1 | Liga MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2024 | Puebla(home) | 5-0 | Liga MX |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Club Queretaro(away) | 1-0 | Liga MX |
| Oct 6, 2024 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas(home) | 1-1 | Liga MX |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Atlas(home) | 4-1 | Liga MX |
| Sep 23, 2024 | Santos Laguna(away) | 0-2 | Liga MX |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Necaxa win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Toluca win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2024 | Necaxa 3-3 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Jul 2, 2023 | Toluca 0-0 Necaxa | Liga MX |
| Apr 30, 2023 | Toluca 3-0 Necaxa | Liga MX |
| Dec 27, 2022 | Toluca 1-0 Necaxa | Copa por México |
| Jul 2, 2022 | Necaxa 1-3 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Mar 5, 2022 | Necaxa 0-1 Toluca | Liga MX |
How many goals should we expect?
Necaxa score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Toluca score 2.2 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Necaxa | 1.3 | 1.5 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Toluca | 2.2 | 1.0 | 4 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Necaxa sit 8th in Liga MX (6 points from 3 matches) and Toluca sit 3rd (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Toluca | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Toluca | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
| 8 | Necaxa | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 6 |
| 11 | Necaxa | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 6 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy