Necaxa vs Toluca: result 1-3 and analysis
Liga MXApertura - 14Kick-off on October 28, 2024 at 12:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Victoria, Aguascalientes
Full time
What was the result of Necaxa vs Toluca?
Toluca won 1-3 on October 28, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 19′J. AnguloToluca
- 25′J. AnguloToluca
- 66′J. AnguloToluca
- 90′A. PalavecinoNecaxa
Official lineup for Necaxa vs Toluca
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Necaxa
3-4-1-2- 9T. Badaloni
- 30R. Monreal
- 10J. Paradela
- 11H. Jurado
- 8A. Palavecino
- 33F. Arce
- 15B. Garnica
- 3A. Oliveros
- 23A. Montes
- 2E. Martínez
- 22E. Unsain
Toluca
3-4-3- 190I. Violante
- 26Paulinho
- 10J. Angulo
- 20J. Gallardo
- 14M. Ruiz
- 198V. Arteaga
- 7J. Domínguez
- 204E. López
- 13Luan
- 6F. Pereira
- 1Tiago Volpi
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Necaxa have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Toluca have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2024 | Guadalajara Chivas(away) | 2-3 | Liga MX |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Club Tijuana(home) | 1-2 | Liga MX |
| Oct 5, 2024 | Cruz Azul(away) | 0-3 | Liga MX |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Club Queretaro(away) | 0-0 | Liga MX |
| Sep 22, 2024 | Club America(home) | 1-1 | Liga MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2024 | Puebla(home) | 5-0 | Liga MX |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Club Queretaro(away) | 1-0 | Liga MX |
| Oct 6, 2024 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas(home) | 1-1 | Liga MX |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Atlas(home) | 4-1 | Liga MX |
| Sep 23, 2024 | Santos Laguna(away) | 0-2 | Liga MX |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Necaxa wins, 2 draws, 4 Toluca wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2024 | Necaxa 3-3 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Jul 2, 2023 | Toluca 0-0 Necaxa | Liga MX |
| Apr 30, 2023 | Toluca 3-0 Necaxa | Liga MX |
| Dec 27, 2022 | Toluca 1-0 Necaxa | Copa por México |
| Jul 2, 2022 | Necaxa 1-3 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Mar 5, 2022 | Necaxa 0-1 Toluca | Liga MX |
How many goals should we expect?
Necaxa score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Toluca score 2.2 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Necaxa | 1.3 | 1.5 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Toluca | 2.2 | 1.0 | 4 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Necaxa sit 17th in Liga MX (9 points from 11 matches) and Toluca sit 2nd (20 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Toluca | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 15 | 20 |
| 17 | Necaxa | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 23 | 9 |
A question about Necaxa vs Toluca?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy