Necaxa vs Toluca: result 0-1 and analysis
Liga MXClausura - 9Kick-off on March 5, 2022 at 01:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Victoria, Aguascalientes
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What was the result of Necaxa vs Toluca?
Toluca won 0-1 on March 5, 2022.
Goalscorers
- 2′Camilo SanvezzoToluca
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Necaxa have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Toluca have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2022 | Mazatlán(away) | 0-0 | Liga MX |
| Feb 26, 2022 | Leon(home) | 0-1 | Liga MX |
| Feb 19, 2022 | Club Tijuana(away) | 1-1 | Liga MX |
| Feb 13, 2022 | Cruz Azul(away) | 2-1 | Liga MX |
| Feb 5, 2022 | CF Pachuca(home) | 1-3 | Liga MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2022 | Club Tijuana(home) | 1-2 | Liga MX |
| Feb 25, 2022 | Club Queretaro(away) | 1-1 | Liga MX |
| Feb 21, 2022 | Cruz Azul(home) | 1-4 | Liga MX |
| Feb 12, 2022 | Atletico San Luis(away) | 1-0 | Liga MX |
| Jan 22, 2022 | Mazatlán(away) | 2-1 | Liga MX |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Necaxa win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Toluca win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2021 | Toluca 1-1 Necaxa | Liga MX |
| Jan 24, 2021 | Toluca 2-0 Necaxa | Liga MX |
| Oct 31, 2020 | Necaxa 3-2 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Jan 19, 2020 | Toluca 2-3 Necaxa | Liga MX |
| Aug 29, 2019 | Necaxa 1-1 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Mar 10, 2019 | Necaxa 1-1 Toluca | Liga MX |
How many goals should we expect?
Necaxa score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Toluca score 0.9 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Necaxa | 1.1 | 1.7 | 2 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Toluca | 0.9 | 1.7 | 2 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Necaxa sit 8th in Liga MX (6 points from 3 matches) and Toluca sit 3rd (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Toluca | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Toluca | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
| 8 | Necaxa | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 6 |
| 11 | Necaxa | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 7 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy