Necaxa vs Toluca: result 1-3 and analysis
Liga MXApertura - 1Kick-off on July 2, 2022 at 10:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Victoria, Aguascalientes
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What was the result of Necaxa vs Toluca?
Toluca won 1-3 on July 2, 2022.
Goalscorers
- 4′L. FernándezToluca
- 24′V. HuertaToluca
- 39′F. FormilianoNecaxa
- 69′Camilo SanvezzoToluca (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Necaxa have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Toluca have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 18, 2022 | Atletico San Luis(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 7, 2022 | Cruz Azul(away) | 1-1 | Liga MX |
| Apr 30, 2022 | Guadalajara Chivas(home) | 0-1 | Liga MX |
| Apr 23, 2022 | Puebla(away) | 1-0 | Liga MX |
| Apr 20, 2022 | Tigres UANL(home) | 2-0 | Liga MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2022 | Leon(away) | 4-4 | Liga MX |
| Apr 24, 2022 | Atlas(home) | 2-4 | Liga MX |
| Apr 20, 2022 | FC Juarez(home) | 0-1 | Liga MX |
| Apr 17, 2022 | Tigres UANL(away) | 0-3 | Liga MX |
| Apr 10, 2022 | Guadalajara Chivas(home) | 1-1 | Liga MX |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Necaxa win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Toluca win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2022 | Necaxa 0-1 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Oct 21, 2021 | Toluca 1-1 Necaxa | Liga MX |
| Jan 24, 2021 | Toluca 2-0 Necaxa | Liga MX |
| Oct 31, 2020 | Necaxa 3-2 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Jan 19, 2020 | Toluca 2-3 Necaxa | Liga MX |
| Aug 29, 2019 | Necaxa 1-1 Toluca | Liga MX |
How many goals should we expect?
Necaxa score 1.2 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Toluca score 1.2 and concede 2.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Necaxa | 1.2 | 0.9 | 4 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Toluca | 1.2 | 2.0 | 2 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Necaxa sit 8th in Liga MX (6 points from 3 matches) and Toluca sit 3rd (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Toluca | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Toluca | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
| 8 | Necaxa | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 6 |
| 11 | Necaxa | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 6 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy