Needham Market vs Leiston: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern CentralRegular Season - 25Kick-off on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Ecologic Stadium at Bloomfields, Needham Market, Suffolk
The Footlab AI model makes Needham Market the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 34% for Leiston. The most likely score is 1-1. If Needham Market wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Needham Market vs Leiston?
A very open match: only 21 Elo points separate Needham Market (1,832) and Leiston (1,812).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Needham Market vs Leiston
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Needham Market
Not enough data to predict the Needham Market lineup.
Leiston
Not enough data to predict the Leiston lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 02:12 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Needham Market have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Leiston have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Bury Town(away) | 5-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Anstey Nomads(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Rushall Olympic(away) | 3-5 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Stamford(home) | 4-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Canvey Island(away) | 3-0 | FA Trophy |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Racing Club Warwick(away) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Coventry United(home) | 3-1 | FA Cup |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Real Bedford(away) | 2-3 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Dartford(home) | 0-3 | FA Trophy |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Peterborough Sports(home) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Needham Market wins, 1 draw, 3 Leiston wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2025 | Leiston 0-1 Needham Market | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 25, 2025 | Needham Market 1-2 Leiston | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Feb 13, 2024 | Needham Market 5-0 Leiston | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 28, 2023 | Leiston 0-0 Needham Market | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Apr 10, 2023 | Needham Market 0-1 Leiston | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Dec 26, 2022 | Leiston 2-1 Needham Market | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
Last archived meeting: Leiston vs Needham Market on Dec 27, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Needham Market score 2.1 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Leiston score 1.8 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Needham Market | 2.1 | 1.4 | 5 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Leiston | 1.8 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Needham Market sit 9th in Non League Premier - Southern Central (14 points from 10 matches) and Leiston sit 13th (12 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Needham Market | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 17 | 14 |
| 13 | Leiston | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 12 |
A question about Needham Market vs Leiston?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Needham Market vs Leiston?
- The Footlab AI model makes Needham Market the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 34% for Leiston.
- Where and when is Needham Market vs Leiston played?
- Needham Market vs Leiston is played on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Ecologic Stadium at Bloomfields, in the Non League Premier - Southern Central.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 26, 2026StourbridgevsBromsgrove Sporting
- Dec 26, 2026Bury TownvsPeterborough Sports
- Dec 26, 2026Bishop's StortfordvsLeighton Town
- Dec 26, 2026Redditch UnitedvsAlvechurch
- Dec 26, 2026Rushall OlympicvsStratford Town
- Dec 26, 2026Kettering TownvsBanbury United
- Dec 26, 2026Anstey NomadsvsStamford
- Dec 26, 2026Racing Club WarwickvsLeamington