Match

Needham Market vs Leiston: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - Southern CentralRegular Season - 25Kick-off on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Ecologic Stadium at Bloomfields, Needham Market, Suffolk

Needham MarketLeiston

The Footlab model makes Leiston the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Needham Market. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Needham Market vs Leiston?

A very open match: only 22 Elo points separate Needham Market (1,768) and Leiston (1,790).

Needham Market win36 %
Draw26 %
Leiston win38 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Needham Market have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Leiston have 6, 5 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Needham Market
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Halesowen Town(home)0-1Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 15, 2026Alvechurch(away)0-2Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 11, 2026Hitchin Town(away)3-1Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 8, 2026Bromsgrove Sporting(home)1-3Non League Premier - Southern Central
Apr 25, 2026Banbury United(home)0-2Non League Premier - Southern Central
Leiston
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Stourbridge(away)2-2Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 15, 2026Rushall Olympic(home)1-2Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 11, 2026Bishop's Stortford(home)3-1Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 8, 2026Anstey Nomads(away)1-1Non League Premier - Southern Central
Jul 28, 2026Gorleston(away)3-1Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Needham Market win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Leiston win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Dec 27, 2025Leiston 0-1 Needham MarketNon League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 25, 2025Needham Market 1-2 LeistonNon League Premier - Southern Central
Feb 13, 2024Needham Market 5-0 LeistonNon League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 28, 2023Leiston 0-0 Needham MarketNon League Premier - Southern Central
Apr 10, 2023Needham Market 0-1 LeistonNon League Premier - Southern Central
Dec 26, 2022Leiston 2-1 Needham MarketNon League Premier - Southern Central

Last archived meeting: Leiston vs Needham Market on Dec 27, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Needham Market score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Leiston score 1.4 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Needham Market1.41.338/158/15
Leiston1.41.4311/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Needham Market sit 14th in Non League Premier - Southern Central (3 points from 3 matches) and Leiston sit 8th (4 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
8Leiston3111544
14Needham Market3102463

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Needham Market vs Leiston?
The Footlab model makes Leiston the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Needham Market.
Where and when is Needham Market vs Leiston played?
Needham Market vs Leiston is played on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Ecologic Stadium at Bloomfields, in the Non League Premier - Southern Central.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Needham Market and Leiston

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