Needham Market vs Leiston: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern CentralRegular Season - 25Kick-off on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Ecologic Stadium at Bloomfields, Needham Market, Suffolk
The Footlab model makes Leiston the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Needham Market. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Needham Market vs Leiston?
A very open match: only 22 Elo points separate Needham Market (1,768) and Leiston (1,790).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Needham Market have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Leiston have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Halesowen Town(home) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Alvechurch(away) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Hitchin Town(away) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bromsgrove Sporting(home) | 1-3 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Banbury United(home) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Stourbridge(away) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Rushall Olympic(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Bishop's Stortford(home) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Anstey Nomads(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Gorleston(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Needham Market win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Leiston win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2025 | Leiston 0-1 Needham Market | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 25, 2025 | Needham Market 1-2 Leiston | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Feb 13, 2024 | Needham Market 5-0 Leiston | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 28, 2023 | Leiston 0-0 Needham Market | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Apr 10, 2023 | Needham Market 0-1 Leiston | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Dec 26, 2022 | Leiston 2-1 Needham Market | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
Last archived meeting: Leiston vs Needham Market on Dec 27, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Needham Market score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Leiston score 1.4 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Needham Market | 1.4 | 1.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Leiston | 1.4 | 1.4 | 3 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Needham Market sit 14th in Non League Premier - Southern Central (3 points from 3 matches) and Leiston sit 8th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Leiston | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| 14 | Needham Market | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Needham Market vs Leiston?
- The Footlab model makes Leiston the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Needham Market.
- Where and when is Needham Market vs Leiston played?
- Needham Market vs Leiston is played on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Ecologic Stadium at Bloomfields, in the Non League Premier - Southern Central.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 26, 2026StourbridgevsBromsgrove Sporting
- Dec 26, 2026Bury TownvsPeterborough Sports
- Dec 26, 2026Bishop's StortfordvsLeighton Town
- Dec 26, 2026Redditch UnitedvsAlvechurch
- Dec 26, 2026Rushall OlympicvsStratford Town
- Dec 26, 2026Kettering TownvsBanbury United
- Dec 26, 2026Anstey NomadsvsStamford
- Dec 26, 2026Racing Club WarwickvsLeamington