Leiston vs Bury Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern CentralRegular Season - 26Kick-off on January 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Victory Road, Leiston, Suffolk
The Footlab AI model makes Bury Town the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Leiston. The most likely score is 1-1. If Bury Town wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,577 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Leiston vs Bury Town?
A very open match: only 48 Elo points separate Leiston (1,838) and Bury Town (1,886).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Leiston vs Bury Town
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Leiston
Not enough data to predict the Leiston lineup.
Bury Town
Not enough data to predict the Bury Town lineup.
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 07:02 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leiston have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Bury Town have 10, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Guiseley AFC(home) | 0-3 | FA Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Racing Club Warwick(away) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Coventry United(home) | 3-1 | FA Cup |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Real Bedford(away) | 2-3 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Dartford(home) | 0-3 | FA Trophy |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Stourbridge(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Needham Market(home) | 0-5 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Alvechurch(away) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Spalding United(away) | 0-4 | FA Cup |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Spalding United(home) | 1-1 | FA Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Leiston wins, 1 draw, 3 Bury Town wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 31, 2026 | Bury Town 4-3 Leiston | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Apr 6, 2026 | Leiston 1-3 Bury Town | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Feb 3, 2026 | Bury Town 1-1 Leiston | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 2, 2024 | Bury Town 1-0 Leiston | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Leiston score 1.7 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Bury Town score 1.9 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leiston | 1.7 | 1.6 | 3 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
| Bury Town | 1.9 | 1.8 | 4 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Leiston sit 14th in Non League Premier - Southern Central (12 points from 10 matches) and Bury Town sit 2nd (30 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Bury Town | 12 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 30 |
| 14 | Leiston | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 12 |
A question about Leiston vs Bury Town?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Leiston vs Bury Town?
- The Footlab AI model makes Bury Town the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Leiston.
- Where and when is Leiston vs Bury Town played?
- Leiston vs Bury Town is played on January 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Victory Road, in the Non League Premier - Southern Central.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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