Neftchi Baku vs Araz: result 1-1 and analysis
Premyer LiqaRegular Season - 28Kick-off on March 29, 2025 at 12:45 PM (UTC)Neftçi Arena, Baku
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What was the result of Neftchi Baku vs Araz?
Neftchi Baku and Araz drew 1-1 on March 29, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 3′B. SambouNeftchi Baku
- 7′I. ParoAraz
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Neftchi Baku have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Araz have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2025 | Səbail(away) | 2-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Mar 10, 2025 | Turan(home) | 1-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Mar 5, 2025 | Kapaz(away) | 0-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Feb 28, 2025 | Kapaz(home) | 1-0 | Cup |
| Feb 21, 2025 | Sumqayıt(home) | 1-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2025 | Şamaxı FK(home) | 1-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Qarabag(home) | 1-3 | Premyer Liqa |
| Mar 4, 2025 | Sabah FA(away) | 2-2 | Premyer Liqa |
| Feb 28, 2025 | Zira(away) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Səbail(home) | 0-0 | Premyer Liqa |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Neftchi Baku win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Araz win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2025 | Araz 2-1 Neftchi Baku | Premyer Liqa |
| Nov 1, 2024 | Neftchi Baku 0-1 Araz | Premyer Liqa |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Araz 1-1 Neftchi Baku | Premyer Liqa |
| Apr 13, 2024 | Neftchi Baku 3-0 Araz | Premyer Liqa |
| Feb 13, 2024 | Araz 1-0 Neftchi Baku | Premyer Liqa |
| Nov 26, 2023 | Neftchi Baku 1-1 Araz | Premyer Liqa |
How many goals should we expect?
Neftchi Baku score 1.4 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Araz score 0.9 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neftchi Baku | 1.4 | 0.8 | 5 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Araz | 0.9 | 0.9 | 6 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Neftchi Baku sit 1st in Premyer Liqa (6 points from 2 matches) and Araz sit 9th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neftchi Baku | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 6 |
| 9 | Araz | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy