Neftchi Baku vs Qarabag: result 0-2 and analysis
Premyer LiqaRegular Season - 9Kick-off on October 8, 2023 at 03:30 PM (UTC)Neftçi Arena, Baku
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What was the result of Neftchi Baku vs Qarabag?
Qarabag won 0-2 on October 8, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 47′JuninhoQarabag
- 87′R. XhixhaQarabag
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Neftchi Baku have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Qarabag have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 30, 2023 | Turan(away) | 1-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| Sep 23, 2023 | Zira(away) | 1-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Sep 16, 2023 | Araz(away) | 0-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Sep 2, 2023 | Sumqayıt(away) | 1-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| Aug 27, 2023 | Qabala(home) | 2-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 5, 2023 | BK Hacken(away) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Sep 29, 2023 | Sumqayıt(home) | 5-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| Sep 25, 2023 | Qabala(away) | 2-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Sep 21, 2023 | Molde(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Sep 17, 2023 | Sabah FA(home) | 2-0 | Premyer Liqa |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Neftchi Baku win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 Qarabag win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2023 | Neftchi Baku 2-4 Qarabag | Premyer Liqa |
| Feb 27, 2023 | Qarabag 1-1 Neftchi Baku | Premyer Liqa |
| Dec 2, 2022 | Neftchi Baku 0-4 Qarabag | Premyer Liqa |
| Oct 1, 2022 | Qarabag 3-1 Neftchi Baku | Premyer Liqa |
| May 21, 2022 | Qarabag 4-1 Neftchi Baku | Premyer Liqa |
| Feb 7, 2022 | Neftchi Baku 1-2 Qarabag | Premyer Liqa |
Last archived meeting: Neftchi Baku vs Qarabag on May 2, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Neftchi Baku score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Qarabag score 1.7 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neftchi Baku | 0.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Qarabag | 1.7 | 0.7 | 6 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Neftchi Baku sit 1st in Premyer Liqa (6 points from 2 matches) and Qarabag sit 4th (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neftchi Baku | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 6 |
| 4 | Qarabag | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy