Neftchi Baku vs Qarabag: result 2-4 and analysis
Premyer LiqaRegular Season - 32Kick-off on May 2, 2023 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Neftçi Arena, Baku
Full time
What was the result of Neftchi Baku vs Qarabag?
Qarabag won 2-4 on May 2, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 11′R. ŞeydayevQarabag
- 16′Leandro AndradeQarabag
- 40′SaldanhaNeftchi Baku
- 55′SaldanhaQarabag (o.g.)
- 64′E. MahmudovNeftchi Baku (pen.)
- 80′A. ZoubirQarabag
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Neftchi Baku have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Qarabag have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2023 | Turan(home) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Apr 22, 2023 | Səbail(away) | 1-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Apr 19, 2023 | Turan(away) | 0-1 | Cup |
| Apr 14, 2023 | Qabala(home) | 1-2 | Premyer Liqa |
| Apr 8, 2023 | Sumqayıt(away) | 4-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 21, 2023 | Zira(home) | 2-2 | Premyer Liqa |
| Apr 16, 2023 | Sabah FA(away) | 1-2 | Premyer Liqa |
| Apr 9, 2023 | Kapaz(home) | 3-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Apr 2, 2023 | Şamaxı FK(away) | 1-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| Mar 26, 2023 | Galatasaray(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Neftchi Baku win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 Qarabag win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2023 | Qarabag 1-1 Neftchi Baku | Premyer Liqa |
| Dec 2, 2022 | Neftchi Baku 0-4 Qarabag | Premyer Liqa |
| Oct 1, 2022 | Qarabag 3-1 Neftchi Baku | Premyer Liqa |
| May 21, 2022 | Qarabag 4-1 Neftchi Baku | Premyer Liqa |
| Feb 7, 2022 | Neftchi Baku 1-2 Qarabag | Premyer Liqa |
| Oct 30, 2021 | Qarabag 4-0 Neftchi Baku | Premyer Liqa |
Last archived meeting: Qarabag vs Neftchi Baku on Feb 27, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Neftchi Baku score 1.5 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Qarabag score 1.9 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neftchi Baku | 1.5 | 0.7 | 8 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Qarabag | 1.9 | 0.9 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Neftchi Baku sit 1st in Premyer Liqa (6 points from 2 matches) and Qarabag sit 4th (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neftchi Baku | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 6 |
| 4 | Qarabag | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy