Neftchi Baku vs Qarabag: result 2-3 and analysis
Premyer LiqaRegular Season - 28Kick-off on May 11, 2019 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Neftçi Arena, Baku
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What was the result of Neftchi Baku vs Qarabag?
Qarabag won 2-3 on May 11, 2019.
Goalscorers
- 15′M. EmreliQarabag
- 38′E. MahmudovNeftchi Baku (pen.)
- 40′Gianluca SansoneNeftchi Baku
- 64′M. EmreliQarabag
- 90′R. AlmeydaQarabag
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Neftchi Baku have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Qarabag have 11, 3 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 5, 2019 | Qabala(away) | 3-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Apr 27, 2019 | Sumqayıt(home) | 2-3 | Premyer Liqa |
| Apr 19, 2019 | Sabah FA(away) | 2-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| Apr 14, 2019 | Səbail(away) | 2-2 | Premyer Liqa |
| Apr 6, 2019 | Zira(home) | 4-2 | Premyer Liqa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 5, 2019 | Səbail(home) | 4-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| May 1, 2019 | Qabala(home) | 2-1 | Cup |
| Apr 27, 2019 | Zira(away) | 3-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| Apr 23, 2019 | Qabala(away) | 0-1 | Cup |
| Apr 18, 2019 | Şamaxı FK(home) | 3-0 | Premyer Liqa |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Neftchi Baku win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Qarabag win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2019 | Qarabag 1-1 Neftchi Baku | Premyer Liqa |
| Oct 28, 2018 | Neftchi Baku 3-1 Qarabag | Premyer Liqa |
| Aug 26, 2018 | Qarabag 1-1 Neftchi Baku | Premyer Liqa |
| May 6, 2018 | Qarabag 0-1 Neftchi Baku | Premyer Liqa |
| Mar 14, 2018 | Neftchi Baku 0-0 Qarabag | Premyer Liqa |
| Dec 1, 2017 | Qarabag 1-0 Neftchi Baku | Premyer Liqa |
Last archived meeting: Qarabag vs Neftchi Baku on Feb 3, 2019
How many goals should we expect?
Neftchi Baku score 1.7 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Qarabag score 2.1 and concede 0.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neftchi Baku | 1.7 | 1.0 | 6 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Qarabag | 2.1 | 0.5 | 8 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Neftchi Baku sit 1st in Premyer Liqa (6 points from 2 matches) and Qarabag sit 4th (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neftchi Baku | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 6 |
| 4 | Qarabag | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy