Qarabag vs Neftchi Baku: result 1-1 and analysis
Premyer LiqaRegular Season - 15Kick-off on February 3, 2019 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Tofiq Bəhramov adına Respublika stadionu, Baku
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What was the result of Qarabag vs Neftchi Baku?
Qarabag and Neftchi Baku drew 1-1 on February 3, 2019.
Goalscorers
- 6′Dani QuintanaQarabag
- 30′M. MbodjNeftchi Baku
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Qarabag have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Neftchi Baku have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2018 | Şamaxı FK(away) | 1-1 | Cup |
| Dec 16, 2018 | Şamaxı FK(home) | 1-0 | Cup |
| Dec 13, 2018 | Arsenal(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Dec 9, 2018 | Zira(away) | 6-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| Dec 3, 2018 | Şamaxı FK(home) | 5-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2018 | Sumqayıt(away) | 1-0 | Cup |
| Dec 15, 2018 | Sumqayıt(home) | 0-2 | Cup |
| Dec 9, 2018 | Sumqayıt(home) | 0-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| Dec 1, 2018 | Sabah FA(away) | 2-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Nov 25, 2018 | Səbail(away) | 2-0 | Premyer Liqa |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Qarabag win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Neftchi Baku win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2018 | Neftchi Baku 3-1 Qarabag | Premyer Liqa |
| Aug 26, 2018 | Qarabag 1-1 Neftchi Baku | Premyer Liqa |
| May 6, 2018 | Qarabag 0-1 Neftchi Baku | Premyer Liqa |
| Mar 14, 2018 | Neftchi Baku 0-0 Qarabag | Premyer Liqa |
| Dec 1, 2017 | Qarabag 1-0 Neftchi Baku | Premyer Liqa |
| Aug 11, 2017 | Neftchi Baku 1-3 Qarabag | Premyer Liqa |
Last archived meeting: Neftchi Baku vs Qarabag on Oct 28, 2018
How many goals should we expect?
Qarabag score 1.6 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Neftchi Baku score 1.7 and concede 0.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qarabag | 1.6 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Neftchi Baku | 1.7 | 0.8 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Qarabag sit 4th in Premyer Liqa (3 points from 1 matches) and Neftchi Baku sit 1st (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neftchi Baku | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 6 |
| 4 | Qarabag | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy