Neftchi Baku vs Qarabag: result 1-0 and analysis
Premyer LiqaRegular Season - 28Kick-off on May 19, 2021 at 04:30 PM (UTC)Dalğa Arena, Baku
Full time
What was the result of Neftchi Baku vs Qarabag?
Neftchi Baku won 1-0 on May 19, 2021.
Goalscorers
- 90′A. AhmedovNeftchi Baku
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Neftchi Baku have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Qarabag have 8, 6 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 14, 2021 | Sumqayıt(away) | 1-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| May 8, 2021 | Səbail(away) | 4-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| May 3, 2021 | Şamaxı FK(away) | 3-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| Apr 25, 2021 | Sabah FA(away) | 2-2 | Premyer Liqa |
| Apr 17, 2021 | Zira(home) | 4-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 14, 2021 | Şamaxı FK(home) | 2-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| May 9, 2021 | Sabah FA(away) | 4-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| May 4, 2021 | Zira(home) | 1-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Apr 29, 2021 | Sumqayıt(home) | 0-0 | Cup |
| Apr 25, 2021 | Qabala(away) | 5-0 | Premyer Liqa |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Neftchi Baku win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Qarabag win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2021 | Qarabag 1-2 Neftchi Baku | Premyer Liqa |
| Nov 8, 2020 | Neftchi Baku 0-6 Qarabag | Premyer Liqa |
| Sep 20, 2020 | Qarabag 1-2 Neftchi Baku | Premyer Liqa |
| Feb 8, 2020 | Qarabag 0-0 Neftchi Baku | Premyer Liqa |
| Nov 1, 2019 | Neftchi Baku 0-0 Qarabag | Premyer Liqa |
| Sep 15, 2019 | Qarabag 2-0 Neftchi Baku | Premyer Liqa |
Last archived meeting: Qarabag vs Neftchi Baku on Feb 13, 2021
How many goals should we expect?
Neftchi Baku score 1.9 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Qarabag score 1.8 and concede 0.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neftchi Baku | 1.9 | 0.7 | 7 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
| Qarabag | 1.8 | 0.4 | 10 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Neftchi Baku sit 1st in Premyer Liqa (6 points from 2 matches) and Qarabag sit 4th (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neftchi Baku | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 6 |
| 4 | Qarabag | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy