Qarabag vs Neftchi Baku: result 1-1 and analysis
Premyer LiqaRegular Season - 24Kick-off on February 27, 2023 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Tofiq Bəhramov adına Respublika stadionu, Baku
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What was the result of Qarabag vs Neftchi Baku?
Qarabag and Neftchi Baku drew 1-1 on February 27, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 33′K. LebonNeftchi Baku
- 82′H. HaqqverdiQarabag (o.g.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Qarabag have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Neftchi Baku have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2023 | Gent(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Feb 19, 2023 | Zira(away) | 1-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| Feb 16, 2023 | Gent(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Feb 11, 2023 | Sabah FA(home) | 1-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Feb 4, 2023 | Kapaz(away) | 1-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2023 | Səbail(home) | 3-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| Feb 10, 2023 | Qabala(away) | 0-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| Feb 5, 2023 | Sumqayıt(home) | 2-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| Feb 1, 2023 | Zira(home) | 1-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| Jan 26, 2023 | Sabah FA(away) | 0-2 | Premyer Liqa |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 6 Qarabag win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Neftchi Baku win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 2022 | Neftchi Baku 0-4 Qarabag | Premyer Liqa |
| Oct 1, 2022 | Qarabag 3-1 Neftchi Baku | Premyer Liqa |
| May 21, 2022 | Qarabag 4-1 Neftchi Baku | Premyer Liqa |
| Feb 7, 2022 | Neftchi Baku 1-2 Qarabag | Premyer Liqa |
| Oct 30, 2021 | Qarabag 4-0 Neftchi Baku | Premyer Liqa |
| Sep 12, 2021 | Neftchi Baku 1-2 Qarabag | Premyer Liqa |
Last archived meeting: Neftchi Baku vs Qarabag on Dec 2, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Qarabag score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Neftchi Baku score 1.3 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qarabag | 1.5 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Neftchi Baku | 1.3 | 1.0 | 6 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Qarabag sit 4th in Premyer Liqa (3 points from 1 matches) and Neftchi Baku sit 1st (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neftchi Baku | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 6 |
| 4 | Qarabag | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy