Neftchi vs Ahal: prediction and stats
AFC Champions League Two2nd Preliminary RoundKick-off on February 5, 2020 at 12:00 AM (UTC)Stadion Istiqlol, Fergana
Match postponed, new date to be confirmed
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Neftchi have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Ahal have 7, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2018 | Kokand-1912(home) | 0-2 | Super League |
| Nov 23, 2018 | Qizilqum(away) | 1-1 | Super League |
| Nov 9, 2018 | Sogdiana(home) | 0-1 | Super League |
| Nov 4, 2018 | Nasaf(away) | 0-2 | Super League |
| Oct 31, 2018 | Olmaliq(home) | 1-1 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2019 | Khujand(away) | 0-0 | AFC Champions League Two |
| Mar 6, 2019 | Khujand(home) | 1-1 | AFC Champions League Two |
| Feb 27, 2019 | Alay(home) | 1-0 | AFC Champions League Two |
| Feb 20, 2019 | Alay(away) | 2-1 | AFC Champions League Two |
| May 16, 2018 | Alay(away) | 3-2 | AFC Champions League Two |
How many goals should we expect?
Neftchi score 0.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Ahal score 1.4 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neftchi | 0.9 | 1.2 | 2 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Ahal | 1.4 | 0.7 | 6 | 5/14 | 5/14 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Neftchi vs Ahal?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy