Neftchi vs Ahal: prediction and stats
AFC Champions League Two2nd Preliminary RoundKick-off on February 5, 2020 at 12:00 AM (UTC)Stadion Istiqlol, Fergana
Match postponed — new date to be confirmed
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Neftchi have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Ahal have 7, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2018 | Kokand-1912(home) | 0-2 | Super League |
| Nov 23, 2018 | Qizilqum(away) | 1-1 | Super League |
| Nov 9, 2018 | Sogdiana(home) | 0-1 | Super League |
| Nov 4, 2018 | Nasaf(away) | 0-2 | Super League |
| Oct 31, 2018 | Olmaliq(home) | 1-1 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2019 | Khujand(away) | 0-0 | AFC Champions League Two |
| Mar 6, 2019 | Khujand(home) | 1-1 | AFC Champions League Two |
| Feb 27, 2019 | Alay(home) | 1-0 | AFC Champions League Two |
| Feb 20, 2019 | Alay(away) | 2-1 | AFC Champions League Two |
| May 16, 2018 | Alay(away) | 3-2 | AFC Champions League Two |
How many goals should we expect?
Neftchi score 0.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Ahal score 1.4 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neftchi | 0.9 | 1.2 | 2 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Ahal | 1.4 | 0.7 | 6 | 5/14 | 5/14 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy