Neftchi vs Navbahor: result 1-0 and analysis
Super LeagueRegular Season - 3Kick-off on April 4, 2015 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Stadion Istiqlol, Fergana
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What was the result of Neftchi vs Navbahor?
Neftchi won 1-0 on April 4, 2015.
Goalscorers
- 85′Otabek KhaydarovNeftchi
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Neftchi have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Navbahor have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2015 | Lokomotiv(away) | 1-1 | Super League |
| Mar 14, 2015 | Shortan(home) | 1-1 | Super League |
| Nov 7, 2014 | Andijan(home) | 1-0 | Super League |
| Nov 2, 2014 | Lokomotiv(away) | 2-4 | Super League |
| Oct 25, 2014 | Bunyodkor(home) | 0-0 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2015 | Metalourg(home) | 2-2 | Super League |
| Mar 14, 2015 | Mash'al(home) | 0-2 | Super League |
| Nov 7, 2014 | Dinamo Samarqand(home) | 2-2 | Super League |
| Nov 2, 2014 | Olmaliq(away) | 1-3 | Super League |
| Oct 25, 2014 | Mash'al(home) | 3-0 | Super League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Neftchi win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Navbahor win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2014 | Neftchi 1-0 Navbahor | Super League |
| Mar 29, 2014 | Navbahor 1-1 Neftchi | Super League |
| Aug 10, 2013 | Navbahor 1-1 Neftchi | Super League |
| Jun 29, 2013 | Neftchi 2-0 Navbahor | Super League |
| Aug 27, 2012 | Neftchi 3-0 Navbahor | Super League |
| Jun 16, 2012 | Navbahor 1-0 Neftchi | Super League |
How many goals should we expect?
Neftchi score 0.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Navbahor score 1.5 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neftchi | 0.7 | 0.9 | 5 | 5/15 | 2/15 |
| Navbahor | 1.5 | 1.7 | 3 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Neftchi sit 1st in Super League (28 points from 11 matches) and Navbahor sit 3rd (20 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neftchi | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 3 | 28 |
| 1 | Neftchi | 19 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 45 | 10 | 45 |
| 3 | Navbahor | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 8 | 20 |
| 4 | Navbahor | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 29 | 17 | 34 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy