Neftchi vs Pakhtakor: result 3-1 and analysis
Super LeagueRegular Season - 5Kick-off on June 11, 2012 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Istiqlol, Fergana
Full time
What was the result of Neftchi vs Pakhtakor?
Neftchi won 3-1 on June 11, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 46′D. KhashimovPakhtakor
- 57′243603Neftchi
- 66′103645Neftchi
- 82′103557Neftchi
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 8 matches in all competitions, Neftchi have 3 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Pakhtakor have 5, 3 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 5, 2012 | Nasaf(away) | 2-1 | Super League |
| May 18, 2012 | Shortan(home) | 1-1 | Super League |
| May 13, 2012 | Qizilqum(away) | 1-2 | Super League |
| May 4, 2012 | Mash'al(home) | 3-0 | Super League |
| Apr 29, 2012 | Andijan(away) | 0-1 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 21, 2012 | Qizilqum(home) | 4-0 | Super League |
| May 10, 2012 | Mash'al(away) | 3-0 | Super League |
| May 6, 2012 | Andijan(home) | 1-0 | Super League |
| Apr 27, 2012 | Lokomotiv(away) | 1-1 | Super League |
| Apr 12, 2012 | Nasaf(home) | 0-0 | Super League |
How many goals should we expect?
Neftchi score 1.1 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 8; Pakhtakor score 1.4 and concede 0.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neftchi | 1.1 | 0.8 | 3 | 4/8 | 3/8 |
| Pakhtakor | 1.4 | 0.1 | 7 | 1/8 | 2/8 |
Over the last 8 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Neftchi sit 1st in Super League (28 points from 11 matches) and Pakhtakor sit 2nd (26 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neftchi | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 3 | 28 |
| 1 | Neftchi | 19 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 45 | 10 | 45 |
| 2 | Pakhtakor | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 12 | 26 |
| 2 | Pakhtakor | 18 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 30 | 17 | 39 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy