Neftchi vs Qizilqum: result 3-1 and analysis
Super LeagueRelegation Round - 4Kick-off on October 19, 2018 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Istiqlol, Fergana
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What was the result of Neftchi vs Qizilqum?
Neftchi won 3-1 on October 19, 2018.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Neftchi have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Qizilqum have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2018 | Sogdiana(away) | 0-3 | Super League |
| Sep 22, 2018 | Nasaf(home) | 3-1 | Super League |
| Sep 15, 2018 | Olmaliq(away) | 1-0 | Super League |
| Aug 17, 2018 | Kokand-1912(home) | 1-0 | Super League |
| Aug 11, 2018 | Lokomotiv(away) | 1-1 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2018 | Nasaf(away) | 2-4 | Super League |
| Sep 22, 2018 | Kokand-1912(home) | 1-0 | Super League |
| Sep 13, 2018 | Sogdiana(away) | 2-2 | Super League |
| Aug 18, 2018 | Navbahor(home) | 2-0 | Super League |
| Aug 12, 2018 | Metalourg(away) | 1-2 | Super League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Neftchi win, 2 draws, 3 Qizilqum wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 24, 2018 | Neftchi 0-1 Qizilqum | Super League |
| Apr 20, 2018 | Qizilqum 1-0 Neftchi | Super League |
| Oct 26, 2017 | Neftchi 2-0 Qizilqum | Super League |
| May 18, 2017 | Qizilqum 2-2 Neftchi | Super League |
| Nov 17, 2016 | Neftchi 0-1 Qizilqum | Super League |
| Jun 25, 2016 | Qizilqum 0-0 Neftchi | Super League |
How many goals should we expect?
Neftchi score 0.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Qizilqum score 1.0 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neftchi | 0.9 | 1.2 | 3 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Qizilqum | 1.0 | 1.4 | 6 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Neftchi sit 1st in Super League (55 points from 24 matches) and Qizilqum sit 8th (33 points from 24 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neftchi | 24 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 56 | 21 | 55 |
| 8 | Qizilqum | 24 | 10 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 30 | 33 |
A question about Neftchi vs Qizilqum?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy