Bunyodkor vs Qizilqum: prediction and stats
Super LeagueRegular Season - 30Kick-off on December 2, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Milliy Stadium, Tashkent
The Footlab AI model makes Qizilqum the favourite at 43%, against 30% for a draw and 27% for Bunyodkor. The most likely score is 1-1. If Qizilqum wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,461 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bunyodkor vs Qizilqum?
A very open match: only 30 Elo points separate Bunyodkor (1,558) and Qizilqum (1,588).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Bunyodkor vs Qizilqum
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Bunyodkor
4-3-3- 10A. Turakulov
- 9M. Krivokapić
- 17M. Olimjonov
- 45S. Tursunmahammadov
- 18N.Ahmadjonov
- 21N. Abdusalomov
- 13M. Khakimov
- 66A. Tulkunbekov
- 27I. Anvarov
- 3S. Rakhmanov
- 1A. Abdujalilov
Qizilqum
4-3-3- 88Otabek Jo‘raqo‘ziev
- 47Ruslan Roziyev
- 10I. Kenzhaboev
- 8S. Rahmatullayev
- 31J. Jighauri
- 9S. Turopov
- 15N. Kumburović
- 44G. Rizakulov
- 40N. Nematkhonov
- 7F. Jumankuziev
- 1F. Rahmatov
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 12:35 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bunyodkor have 2 wins, 1 draw and 12 defeats; Qizilqum have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2026 | Mash'al(home) | 2-1 | Super League |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Sogdiana(home) | 1-1 | Super League |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Pakhtakor(away) | 1-3 | Super League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Buxoro(home) | 2-1 | Super League |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Lokomotiv(home) | 0-1 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2026 | Kokand-1912(away) | 0-0 | Super League |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Lokomotiv(home) | 1-1 | Super League |
| Oct 15, 2026 | Andijan(away) | 1-0 | Super League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Surkhon(home) | 0-0 | Super League |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Xorazm(away) | 3-1 | Super League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Bunyodkor wins, 3 draws, 3 Qizilqum wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2025 | Qizilqum 1-1 Bunyodkor | Super League |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Bunyodkor 0-0 Qizilqum | Super League |
| Aug 2, 2024 | Qizilqum 1-0 Bunyodkor | Super League |
| Mar 2, 2024 | Bunyodkor 1-3 Qizilqum | Super League |
| Oct 6, 2023 | Bunyodkor 2-2 Qizilqum | Super League |
| Jun 30, 2023 | Qizilqum 2-0 Bunyodkor | Super League |
Last archived meeting: Qizilqum vs Bunyodkor on Aug 22, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Bunyodkor score 0.9 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Qizilqum score 0.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bunyodkor | 0.9 | 1.9 | 0 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Qizilqum | 0.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bunyodkor sit 13th in Super League (26 points from 25 matches) and Qizilqum sit 8th (35 points from 26 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Qizilqum | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 25 | 31 | 35 |
| 13 | Bunyodkor | 25 | 8 | 2 | 15 | 26 | 41 | 26 |
A question about Bunyodkor vs Qizilqum?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bunyodkor vs Qizilqum?
- The Footlab AI model makes Qizilqum the favourite at 43%, against 30% for a draw and 27% for Bunyodkor.
- Where and when is Bunyodkor vs Qizilqum played?
- Bunyodkor vs Qizilqum is played on December 2, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Milliy Stadium, in the Super League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.