NEOM vs Al-Shabab: prediction and stats
AGCFF Gulf Champions LeagueGroup Stage - 6Kick-off on February 16, 2027 at 07:30 PM (UTC)King Khalid Sport City Stadium, Tabouk
The Footlab AI model makes NEOM the favourite at 92%, against 6% for a draw and 2% for Al-Shabab. The most likely score is 3-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,523 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win NEOM vs Al-Shabab?
NEOM is a heavy favourite: 1,894 Elo points against 1,557, a 337-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for NEOM vs Al-Shabab
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
NEOM
4-4-2- 91A. Lacazette
- 70Haroune Camara
- 72A. Koné
- 77Muhannad Al Saad
- 7G. Masouras
- 14Khalil Al Absi
- 5M. Sarr
- 44N. Zézé
- 15Abdulmalik Al Oyayari
- 27Islam Hawsawi
- 1M. Bułka
Al-Shabab
4-3-3- 17H. Al Rushadi
- 20Ahmed Al Riyami
- 35Y. Al Shabibi
- 6Yaseen Al Sheyadi
- 10K. Markneh
- 14Y. Saindou
- 3Mahmood Mabrook
- 19Y. Al Malki
- 2Yaqdhan Al Mushaifri
- 21H. Lwaliwa
- 26Ibrahim Al Mukhaini
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 09:40 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, NEOM have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Al-Shabab have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Al Sha'ab Hadhramaut(home) | 4-0 | AGCFF Gulf Champions League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Al-Hazm(away) | 1-1 | Pro League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Al-Fateh(home) | 4-2 | Pro League |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Al-Hilal Saudi FC(away) | 2-0 | Pro League |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Al Khaleej Saihat(home) | 3-0 | Pro League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | Al-Duhail SC(away) | 0-3 | AGCFF Gulf Champions League |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Saham(home) | 2-1 | FA Cup |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Al Musannah(away) | 1-0 | FA Cup |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oman Club(away) | 2-0 | Professional League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Al-Nahda(home) | 2-3 | Professional League |
How many goals should we expect?
NEOM score 1.9 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Al-Shabab score 1.4 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 75% probability of over 2.5 goals and 34% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NEOM | 1.9 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Al-Shabab | 1.4 | 1.4 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about NEOM vs Al-Shabab?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for NEOM vs Al-Shabab?
- The Footlab AI model makes NEOM the favourite at 92%, against 6% for a draw and 2% for Al-Shabab.
- Where and when is NEOM vs Al-Shabab played?
- NEOM vs Al-Shabab is played on February 16, 2027 at 07:30 PM (UTC) at King Khalid Sport City Stadium, in the AGCFF Gulf Champions League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 75% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.