Nera Bogodinţi vs Cetate Deva: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 7Group 7 - 10Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Nera Bogodinţi the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Cetate Deva. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nera Bogodinţi vs Cetate Deva?
Cetate Deva starts as the favourite with a 171-point Elo edge (1,542 vs 1,372).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 2 matches in all competitions, Nera Bogodinţi have 0 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats; Cetate Deva have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 9, 2022 | Gloria al Oraşului Geoag(away) | 0-13 | Cupa României |
| Jul 6, 2022 | Turceni(home) | 0-4 | Cupa României |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 7, 2024 | Unirea Alba Iulia(away) | 0-15 | Cupa României |
| May 18, 2024 | Filiaşi(away) | 2-0 | Liga III - Serie 7 |
| May 10, 2024 | Viitorul Şimian(home) | 2-2 | Liga III - Serie 7 |
| May 7, 2024 | Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii(away) | 1-3 | Liga III - Serie 7 |
| May 3, 2024 | Filiaşi(home) | 1-3 | Liga III - Serie 7 |
How many goals should we expect?
Nera Bogodinţi score 0.0 and concede 8.5 goals per match over their last 2; Cetate Deva score 1.7 and concede 2.7. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nera Bogodinţi | 0.0 | 8.5 | 0 | 0/2 | 2/2 |
| Cetate Deva | 1.7 | 2.7 | 4 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 2 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nera Bogodinţi vs Cetate Deva?
- The Footlab model makes Nera Bogodinţi the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Cetate Deva.
- Where and when is Nera Bogodinţi vs Cetate Deva played?
- Nera Bogodinţi vs Cetate Deva is played on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC), in the Liga III - Serie 7.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.