Metalurgistul Cugir vs Universitatea Alba Iulia: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 7Group 7 - 10Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Arena Cugir, Cugir
The Footlab model makes Metalurgistul Cugir the favourite at 51%, against 23% for a draw and 26% for Universitatea Alba Iulia. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Metalurgistul Cugir vs Universitatea Alba Iulia?
A very open match: only 13 Elo points separate Metalurgistul Cugir (1,452) and Universitatea Alba Iulia (1,464).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Metalurgistul Cugir have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Universitatea Alba Iulia have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2026 | Jiul Petroşani(home) | 0-1 | Cupa României |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Hidro Mecanica Sugag(away) | 10-0 | Cupa României |
| May 22, 2026 | Minaur Baia Mare(home) | 3-3 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 15, 2026 | Sănătatea Cluj(away) | 2-3 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 8, 2026 | Unirea Tășnad(home) | 1-1 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2026 | CIL Blaj(home) | 3-4 | Cupa României |
| May 16, 2026 | Progresul Pecica(home) | 6-2 | Liga III - Serie 7 |
| May 8, 2026 | Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii(away) | 0-4 | Liga III - Serie 7 |
| May 1, 2026 | Unirea Sântana(home) | 2-2 | Liga III - Serie 7 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Unirea DMO(away) | 5-1 | Liga III - Serie 7 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Metalurgistul Cugir win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Universitatea Alba Iulia win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Metalurgistul Cugir 2-1 Universitatea Alba Iulia | Liga III - Serie 7 |
| Oct 3, 2025 | Universitatea Alba Iulia 2-2 Metalurgistul Cugir | Liga III - Serie 7 |
| Jul 30, 2025 | Metalurgistul Cugir 1-2 Universitatea Alba Iulia | Cupa României |
| Feb 28, 2025 | Metalurgistul Cugir 0-3 Universitatea Alba Iulia | Liga III - Serie 7 |
| Oct 12, 2024 | Universitatea Alba Iulia 5-2 Metalurgistul Cugir | Liga III - Serie 7 |
| Aug 7, 2024 | Metalurgistul Cugir 1-3 Universitatea Alba Iulia | Cupa României |
Last archived meeting: Metalurgistul Cugir vs Universitatea Alba Iulia on Feb 27, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Metalurgistul Cugir score 1.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Universitatea Alba Iulia score 1.7 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metalurgistul Cugir | 1.7 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Universitatea Alba Iulia | 1.7 | 1.8 | 4 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Metalurgistul Cugir sit 4th in Liga III - Serie 7 (40 points from 22 matches) and Universitatea Alba Iulia sit 5th (34 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Metalurgistul Cugir | 22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 38 | 25 | 40 |
| 5 | Universitatea Alba Iulia | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 34 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Metalurgistul Cugir vs Universitatea Alba Iulia?
- The Footlab model makes Metalurgistul Cugir the favourite at 51%, against 23% for a draw and 26% for Universitatea Alba Iulia.
- Where and when is Metalurgistul Cugir vs Universitatea Alba Iulia played?
- Metalurgistul Cugir vs Universitatea Alba Iulia is played on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Arena Cugir, in the Liga III - Serie 7.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.