Netherlands vs Croatia: result 2-4 and analysis
UEFA Nations LeagueSemi-finalsKick-off on June 14, 2023 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Stadion Feijenoord, Rotterdam
Full time
What was the result of Netherlands vs Croatia?
Croatia won 2-4 on June 14, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 34′D. MalenNetherlands
- 55′A. KramarićCroatia (pen.)
- 72′Mario PasalicCroatia
- 90′N. LangNetherlands
- 98′B. PetkovićCroatia
- 116′L. ModrićCroatia (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Netherlands have 10 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeats; Croatia have 8, 6 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2023 | Gibraltar(home) | 3-0 | Euro Championship - Qualification |
| Mar 24, 2023 | France(away) | 0-4 | Euro Championship - Qualification |
| Dec 9, 2022 | Argentina(home) | 2-2 | World Cup |
| Dec 3, 2022 | USA(home) | 3-1 | World Cup |
| Nov 29, 2022 | Qatar(home) | 2-0 | World Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2023 | Türkiye(away) | 2-0 | Euro Championship - Qualification |
| Mar 25, 2023 | Wales(home) | 1-1 | Euro Championship - Qualification |
| Dec 17, 2022 | Morocco(home) | 2-1 | World Cup |
| Dec 13, 2022 | Argentina(away) | 0-3 | World Cup |
| Dec 9, 2022 | Brazil(home) | 1-1 | World Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Netherlands score 2.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Croatia score 1.3 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Netherlands | 2.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Croatia | 1.3 | 0.7 | 6 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy