Spain vs Italy: result 2-1 and analysis
UEFA Nations LeagueSemi-finalsKick-off on June 15, 2023 at 06:45 PM (UTC)De Grolsch Veste, Enschede
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What was the result of Spain vs Italy?
Spain won 2-1 on June 15, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 3′Yeremy PinoSpain
- 11′C. ImmobileItaly (pen.)
- 88′JoseluSpain
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Spain have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Italy have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2023 | Scotland(away) | 0-2 | Euro Championship - Qualification |
| Mar 25, 2023 | Norway(home) | 3-0 | Euro Championship - Qualification |
| Dec 6, 2022 | Morocco(away) | 0-0 | World Cup |
| Dec 1, 2022 | Japan(away) | 1-2 | World Cup |
| Nov 27, 2022 | Germany(home) | 1-1 | World Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2023 | Malta(away) | 2-0 | Euro Championship - Qualification |
| Mar 23, 2023 | England(home) | 1-2 | Euro Championship - Qualification |
| Nov 20, 2022 | Austria(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies |
| Nov 16, 2022 | Albania(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies |
| Sep 26, 2022 | Hungary(away) | 2-0 | UEFA Nations League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Spain win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Italy win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 6, 2021 | Italy 1-2 Spain | UEFA Nations League |
| Jul 6, 2021 | Italy 1-1 Spain | Euro Championship |
| Sep 2, 2017 | Spain 3-0 Italy | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Oct 6, 2016 | Italy 1-1 Spain | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Jun 27, 2016 | Italy 2-0 Spain | Euro Championship |
| Jun 27, 2013 | Spain 0-0 Italy | Confederations Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Spain score 2.0 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Italy score 1.2 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spain | 2.0 | 0.8 | 7 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Italy | 1.2 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy