Netherlands vs Poland: result 1-0 and analysis
UEFA Nations LeagueLeague A - 1Kick-off on September 4, 2020 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Johan Cruijff Arena, Amsterdam
Full time
What was the result of Netherlands vs Poland?
Netherlands won 1-0 on September 4, 2020.
Goalscorers
- 61′S. BergwijnNetherlands
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Netherlands have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Poland have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2019 | Estonia(home) | 5-0 | Euro Championship |
| Nov 16, 2019 | Northern Ireland(away) | 0-0 | Euro Championship |
| Oct 13, 2019 | Belarus(away) | 2-1 | Euro Championship |
| Oct 10, 2019 | Northern Ireland(home) | 3-1 | Euro Championship |
| Sep 9, 2019 | Estonia(away) | 4-0 | Euro Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2019 | Slovenia(home) | 3-2 | Euro Championship |
| Nov 16, 2019 | Israel(away) | 2-1 | Euro Championship |
| Oct 13, 2019 | FYR Macedonia(home) | 2-0 | Euro Championship |
| Oct 10, 2019 | Latvia(away) | 3-0 | Euro Championship |
| Sep 9, 2019 | Austria(home) | 0-0 | Euro Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Netherlands score 2.4 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Poland score 1.5 and concede 0.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Netherlands | 2.4 | 0.9 | 6 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Poland | 1.5 | 0.8 | 7 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy