Portugal vs Croatia: result 4-1 and analysis
UEFA Nations LeagueLeague A - 1Kick-off on September 5, 2020 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Estádio Do Dragão, Porto
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What was the result of Portugal vs Croatia?
Portugal won 4-1 on September 5, 2020.
Goalscorers
- 41′João CanceloPortugal
- 58′Diogo JotaPortugal
- 70′João FélixPortugal
- 90′André SilvaPortugal
- 90′B. PetkovićCroatia
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Portugal have 10 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeats; Croatia have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2019 | Luxembourg(away) | 2-0 | Euro Championship |
| Nov 14, 2019 | Lithuania(home) | 6-0 | Euro Championship |
| Oct 14, 2019 | Ukraine(away) | 1-2 | Euro Championship |
| Oct 11, 2019 | Luxembourg(home) | 3-0 | Euro Championship |
| Sep 10, 2019 | Lithuania(away) | 5-1 | Euro Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2019 | Georgia(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies |
| Nov 16, 2019 | Slovakia(home) | 3-1 | Euro Championship |
| Oct 13, 2019 | Wales(away) | 1-1 | Euro Championship |
| Oct 10, 2019 | Hungary(home) | 3-0 | Euro Championship |
| Sep 9, 2019 | Azerbaijan(away) | 1-1 | Euro Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Portugal win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Croatia win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 6, 2018 | Portugal 1-1 Croatia | Friendlies |
| Jun 25, 2016 | Croatia 0-1 Portugal | Euro Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Portugal score 2.3 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Croatia score 1.7 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portugal | 2.3 | 0.7 | 7 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Croatia | 1.7 | 1.4 | 3 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy