Neustrelitz vs Mecklenburg Schwerin: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Nordost-NordNOFV-Nord - 8Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Parkstadion, Neustrelitz
The Footlab model makes Neustrelitz the favourite at 65%, against 19% for a draw and 16% for Mecklenburg Schwerin. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Neustrelitz vs Mecklenburg Schwerin?
Neustrelitz starts as the favourite with a 194-point Elo edge (1,816 vs 1,622).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Neustrelitz have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Mecklenburg Schwerin have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Siedenbollentin(home) | 3-2 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lichtenberg(away) | 2-3 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Hansa Rostock(away) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Greifswalder FC(away) | 3-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 30, 2026 | BAK '07(home) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Sparta Lichtenberg(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Makkabi(home) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Jan 10, 2024 | Hansa Rostock II(away) | 1-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 10, 2023 | Makkabi(away) | 0-4 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Jun 3, 2023 | Optik Rathenow(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Neustrelitz win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Mecklenburg Schwerin win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2023 | Mecklenburg Schwerin 0-3 Neustrelitz | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Oct 2, 2022 | Neustrelitz 4-1 Mecklenburg Schwerin | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Feb 13, 2022 | Neustrelitz 0-1 Mecklenburg Schwerin | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
Last archived meeting: Mecklenburg Schwerin vs Neustrelitz on Apr 10, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Neustrelitz score 2.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Mecklenburg Schwerin score 1.3 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neustrelitz | 2.1 | 1.7 | 5 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Mecklenburg Schwerin | 1.3 | 2.5 | 1 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Neustrelitz sit 7th in Oberliga - Nordost-Nord (3 points from 2 matches) and Mecklenburg Schwerin sit 2nd (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Mecklenburg Schwerin | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 7 | Neustrelitz | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Neustrelitz vs Mecklenburg Schwerin?
- The Footlab model makes Neustrelitz the favourite at 65%, against 19% for a draw and 16% for Mecklenburg Schwerin.
- Where and when is Neustrelitz vs Mecklenburg Schwerin played?
- Neustrelitz vs Mecklenburg Schwerin is played on October 18, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Parkstadion, in the Oberliga - Nordost-Nord.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 18, 2026FC Lok StendalvsSparta Lichtenberg
- Oct 18, 2026Hertha ZehlendorfvsBAK '07
- Oct 18, 2026Tennis BorussiavsOptik Rathenow
- Oct 18, 2026Anker WismarvsSiedenbollentin
- Oct 18, 2026MakkabivsReinickendorfer Fuchse
- Oct 18, 2026Hansa Rostock IIvsLichtenberg
- Oct 18, 2026Union KlosterfeldevsEintracht Mahlsdorf